My perspective

Hey everyone,

I’ve been buying Bitcoin since 2012/2013. I’ve lived through it all, studied all cycles in detail, and I’m usually dead silent on Reddit, I just lurk, watch, and stay out of the noise. Never really comment.

But… This feels massively like the 2013 cycle and the 2021 cycle. We’d hit a top, then a brutal dip where everyone piled into the “lower lows incoming,” “it’s over,” narrative. Capitulation everywhere. Then, surprise, it bounced hard and went on to make new cycle highs.

That’s exactly what I see playing out right now.

We topped at roughly $126,200 in early October 2025. Since then we’ve had the classic post-peak flush, fear, and bearish calls for even lower prices. But to me this looks like the same retest/bounce setup we’ve seen before. The crowd is getting shaken out again right before the next leg higher.

In my experience, this is when things get very bullish. A lot of people are going to sit on the sidelines waiting for “the real bottom” that never comes.

People think the cycle top has com and we have entered bear, but the market is maturing and becoming longer. Wouldn’t surprise me at all if we see the cycle top sometime in late 2026 or 2027 in the $180k–$220k range.

Just my two sats after watching this market for over a decade. Do your own research, never financial advice… but damn if this doesn’t feel familiar in the best possible way.

Stay safe out there.

(And yeah… still not selling.)