When I first got into Bitcoin, I thought trading it would be the fastest way to grow.

Watched charts, followed setups, even tried signals at one point.

Didn’t really end well.

Took me a while to realize the issue wasn’t just strategy, it was how I was managing risk and decisions in real time.

Switched focus more towards having clear rules instead of chasing entries… and things started making more sense.

Still learning tbh.

Curious, do most of you here actively trade BTC or just hold long term?

Ask (and answer!) away! Here are the general rules:

• If you'd like to learn something, ask.
• If you'd like to share knowledge, answer.
• Any question about Bitcoin is fair game.

And don't forget to check out /r/BitcoinBeginners

You can sort by new to see the latest questions that may not be answered yet.

Please utilize this sticky thread for all general Bitcoin discussions! If you see posts on the front page or /r/Bitcoin/new which are better suited for this daily discussion thread, please help out by directing the OP to this thread instead. Thank you!

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Listen up. Most traders are staring at the news headlines and freezing. We are staring at the order books.

The Macro Noise:

Yes, the Strait of Hormuz closure is a historic event. Yes, oil is spiking amid the Iran-US tensions and blockade fallout. But notice how BTC has been holding firm around the $73.5k–$74k zone despite the chaos? That's institutional support showing up. Recent sessions saw heavy long liquidations (hundreds of millions wiped out in the volatility)—the "trash" has been cleared.

The Sentinel Logic:

My Brahma-01 system is flagging a strong recovery confluence. When the Fear & Greed Index sits in Extreme Fear territory (around 21–27 recently), it has historically signaled a local bottom and bounce setup.

The Levels:

Entry: $73.8k to $74.2k. Don't FOMO—wait for the wick or confirmation candle.

Stop Loss: $72.5k. If it breaks this cleanly, the near-term macro structure is in trouble.

Target: We are aiming for a recovery back to the $76k "Iron Resistance" first, with potential extension toward $77k–$78k if momentum builds.

Discipline Reminder: My active window starts at 1:00 PM Mumbai time. I'm watching the DXY (Dollar Index) hovering near 98.28–98.30—if it starts to slide, BTC will likely fly.

Are you guys selling your bags to the banks, or are you buying the void? Let's talk logic, not emotions.

Just bought my first cold wallet, Trezor safe 3. What should I expect to do?

I ordered that from official website. and what’s the user experience of using trezor or cold wallet.

He visto en varias ocasiones aplicaciones que supuestamente son minerias de Bitcoin, de hecho estoy probando una aplicación que se llama "Block Mining Miner", sin embargo, no sé si realmente me dé satoshis. Todo esto es porque tengo las duda se ¿Realmente hay aplicaciones que realmente minan o todas son estafa? ¿Hay manera de empezar a minar bitcoin de manera gratuita y sin necesidad de que use de manera directa los componentes de mi dispositivo?

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Hey guys, father recently passed away and left me his ledger. I have full access to this and hold the seed phrase etc. I already have possession of everything and we are starting to go through probate. My understanding is because I have possession of the wallet and seed phrase, there is nothing left to do to “transfer” it to myself. He has no online accounts that hold bitcoin, it’s just the wallet.

So my question: Is there anything linking his ownership to the bitcoin and the ledger that would mean solicitors need to get involved? Couldn’t exactly find a concrete answer for this and the executor of the will seems to think it works like a bank account which is tied to identity. From my understanding the only way you could tie his identity to the wallet is a purchase receipt at a stretch. Any help is much appreciated!

I am based in Australia if that makes any difference.

Thanks guys!

Edit: He had in his original will (2020) that all bitcoin in his Swyftx account to go to me. He didn’t update that before he died but last year he transferred it all into the ledger and gave me all the details. My aunty (the executor) wants to put it all through properly so wants details on it for the solicitor. Solicitor doesnt seem to be up to date with how bitcoin works…

I keeep my seed phrase engraved between two metal plates.

If I move to another country, is it possible that they see my seedphrase during Roentgen in the security area?

Happy stacking guys, don’t worry about short term pricing.

Edit: Don’t worry about the price in (insert broken pieces of paper from your own country) in general

I have a renewal that only will take BTC/SATS.

It gives me a QR code. which CDC doesnt recognize. and a wallet address. I know CDC doesnt sell SATS. but I do have some BTC I can send. But how?

I dont see where I can send fractional BTC to a wallet address.

I opened 2 other exchanges and noticed the USD to SATS is crazy??

The renewal is about 127k SATS. and claims its about $95.00usd.

But on OKX exchange. $95usd is over 6billion SATS????

Please advise. I am totally lost.

Before work, I came across a post from a guy, he was talking about a new way to make a bit of money

In about two hours, I managed to make $89, those who have more time can make more

He left the guide in a pinned post on his profile, waltwhiteee just click to check it out

It worked for me, so I decided to share, maybe it’ll help someone else too

Why has no one run crypto mining rigs off solar panels and batteries instead of using the grid? Then youre not paying any electricity cost for the crypto. It would be all profit. The sun would be your printing press

Trust me, it works. Once you self custody, run a node, you dont even want to move it back and forth to exchange to sell or else until its due (4 years +) or whatever.

When you let it sit on the exchange, the gambling skibidi trying to time and beat the market will be always there teasing you.

But again, only those who know.

Finally was able to own exactly 0.5 BTC.

I started the hole process more than 5 years ago…. Many times i thought the train to reach this goal

Is gone but I made it. Let’s see where this journey takes me. ATM I have around 0.1 on my trezor. The rest I’ll move the asap there…

Let’s see where this journey takes us

Please utilize this sticky thread for all general Bitcoin discussions! If you see posts on the front page or /r/Bitcoin/new which are better suited for this daily discussion thread, please help out by directing the OP to this thread instead. Thank you!

If you don't get an answer to your question, you can try phrasing it differently or commenting again tomorrow.

Please check the previous discussion thread for unanswered questions.

I currently hold most of my BTC in my Roth IRA however I am debating selling my FBTC and buying all physical BTC. I fully believe in the philosophy of BTC and more and more are seeing how that is against what I believe. I’m currently negative in gains (got in around ~100k so I wouldn’t cause any tax from selling). Thoughts on holding physical BTC over tax differed BTC ETF long term?

Have enough to buy, to spare, to live, sit back relax hold for 4years+ with self custody, run node, don't gamble your skibidi and rock on! easy as it is.

You might not want to add how long you've been in but I will.

4 years. Sold .05 BTC. Regret? Yes.

But I've recouped it since then so I don't consider it that big of a deal.

Been out of the game for a few years. Getting back in and privacy still matters to me not hiding anything, just don't like handing over personal data.

Are there any reliable non-KYC exchanges that work well ? Just looking for something simple to get started again. Thanks.

For those of you buying Bitcoin through DCA, which exchange would you recommend?

Personally, since I’m based in France, I use Bitstack. As far as I know, the fees are quite reasonable for this kind of service, and it then sends the BTC to a cold wallet. Still, I’m wondering if there might be a better option out there.

I’m currently paying 0.99% in fees with Bitstack, there doesn’t seem to be much spread, and there are zero fees for sending BTC to another address.

There are no bank card fees either if you do your DCA by card.

Thanks in advance, and have a great weekend.

I have a group of friends that watched me make a ton of money during the 2016-2017 crypto market and asked me to tell them the next time I believed was a good time to buy (surprise, it’s almost always a good time to buy) so whenever it became a bear market, I would shoot the group chat a message and let them know it’s a good time to buy. I would get mocking responses like “Oh yeah I bet it’s a good time to buy, it’s down 10%”. They would even message me the next day when it’s down 11% and say things like “ooh it’s even lower now, I guess today’s a good day to buy too”

And then the bull market comes and my group chat is peppered with angry messages about how they missed the bull run and how I didn’t tell them it’s coming. Messages like “you gotta tell me the next time it’s good to buy!” I quickly learnt that there are just some things people can’t be taught, they have to learn it themselves.

Moral of the story, don’t tell people you’re into crypto and don’t tell people you made gains, regardless of who they are, in the end it’s just a headache for you.

Hello everyone. I recently built a Bitcoin page that shows how Bitcoin would look if investments never lost value and I’d love someone to look at the page and give me some honest feedback on it.

First of all: welcome

BTC is a volatile asset so the best approach is to dollar cost average (DCA) your saving on a regular basis.

Don‘t get caught on the price action too much … investments are made with a long term horizon.

Try to understand how money is created and the fundamentals of bitcoin.

https://youtu.be/mzoX7zEZ6h4?is=SZ80L7REhbayVvJF

https://youtu.be/YtFOxNbmD38?is=YlrKTmTaeBNNTLfI

Absolutely no one can predict any markets in the short term. TA is astrology and no one has a crystal ball.

I hope my post brings clarity and focus.

A warm hug.

I was greedy in 2022 during the crash and wanted to wait for 12k to buy. 12k never came.

After BTC teleported from 15k to 30k, I wanted a deep dip to 20k to buy. 20k never came.

Then I watched BTC teleport from 25k to 70k without a single down month. Zero dips given.

Then the 50k dip came but got bought up by the market instantly, the window to buy was extremely shortlived and I couldn't get in.

Then BTC proceeded to teleport from 50k to 110k in just a few weeks and I basically missed the whole cycle.

I have a feeling the same people waiting for 40k-50k now will go through what I went through and watch as BTC teleports to 500k (or whatever the next top is) without a single major dip.

Trying to understand how people approach Bitcoin long term.
Do you keep adding over time or just hold and wait?

I’ve been learning about Bitcoin and it took some time to understand
When did it finally click for you?

What projects or causes did you support, and how did you verify they were legit?”

Well actually bouncing between 'in the green' & 'in the red' lol.

Been dca for a few months now and finally got back to profit. About £10 ???? a few years ago I was in the green from day 1 and made a nice profit. Obviously should have left it in there as id be rich now ????

How's everyone doing. Green or Red?

I am new to crypto. Is this the right time to buy BTC since I see the chart it started to rebound?

Personally its 0.05 not a lot but i still believe in btc insted of fiat thats why im almost not having cash

By a wealth layer, I mean every asset could be denominated in terms of BTC. Also, every decentralized stablecoin could be backed by Bitcoin.

Suggest your ideas on this.

The bears seem to think 78-80 is the main hurdle. If we cross that, some bears will enter long. There’s another cme gap and a ton of liquidity. Many bears will also change their stance if we pass 85k, which will happen.

Think about it, bears r bearish until they get scared and decide to switch long. Longs get complacent thinking we go to the moon when we pass 85k.

That seems to be the sweetspot target. Whether we dump or continue from there who knows. But 86k, that will likely get hit. Very few ppl think it’s likely or r even talking ab it. That is y I think market will go there. Too many retail bears think they have it all figured out.

Might as well enter long

Please utilize this sticky thread for all general Bitcoin discussions! If you see posts on the front page or /r/Bitcoin/new which are better suited for this daily discussion thread, please help out by directing the OP to this thread instead. Thank you!

If you don't get an answer to your question, you can try phrasing it differently or commenting again tomorrow.

Please check the previous discussion thread for unanswered questions.

I cannot find anywhere else to ask this so I wonder if can ask it here.

Docs for Bitrefill virtual debit cards talk about a variety of countries where they can be used as payment like any other CC or debit/gift card. But the pages on my local Bitrefill website for the virtual debit cards make it sound like they can only be used within my own country. (USA)

Which is correct?

All I want to do is make a small, legal purchase with a foreign merchant and use the small amount of BTC I have left in my BTC wallet to do that. No funny stuff.

Thanks

Stupid narratives

Today bitcoin had a nice surge. Stocks like Cleanspark, Riot Platforms, Keel Infrastructure, and so on, were up about 5%. Strategy though was up about 10%.

Where would you put your money, on bitcoin mining stocks that promise to go into AI data centers, or Strategy? Seems Strategy has a huge upside right now, but I'm less sure about those bitcoin mining (to AI data center) stocks.

Would appreciate your vote! Thanks.

I’ve been wondering for days: at what Bitcoin price would you stop buying? I was thinking maybe at $250k. What about you?

Hello im Newer to bitcoin been listening to lots of podcasts and a few books and id like to say I understand the very basics of it. My thing is everytime I try to bring it up to people in my life they have these questions

- whats backing it / what gives it value ?

- if its so well designed why hasn't it been implemented as world currency yet ?

-why does its price go up and down so much if its got this secure well structured design?

So I would like to know whats your guy's responses to those questions so I can come up with some better answers for them

thanks

Going to BTC Vegas for the first time currently just have the GA pass and was wondering if there are any free events I can get in / RSVP to. I’m down for anything educational or networking related any suggestions are welcome!

Is it just me, or are more and more people saying they bought Bitcoin over a decade ago?

I don't know, it's a bit tiring reading certain posts that start by saying they've been holding BTC for X years and then use that as justification for the post. What do you think about this?

Edit: I'm only referring to those who use it as justification for giving financial advice. If you're proud of having held for a long time and want to share it, that's not a bad thing, obviously. We all want to have that discipline, patience, and opportunity to share it someday the achievement.

As I recovered an old email account I found I had a coinbase account I had completely forgotten about. It’s not much, compared to other folks in this sub, but it has .25 BTC and other currencies from forks in the past 9 years since I bought it.

I had completely forgotten about it and, because of it, never declared in my tax returns. Apparently I should have done that and submit an ID to coinbase.

I haven’t done anything yet, or touched the currencies. Am I fucked? or can I just submit my ID and declare in the tax return next year?

Apologies for my ignorance, I have stayed away from crypto since I bought .25 BTC back in 2017. All advise is appreciated.

With everything going on in the world and not being very knowledgeable about digital currency, should I wait or just do it? My ass was gonna buy at 62k and chickened out, I think I should say fu*k it and buy now.

Hey everyone,

I’ve been buying Bitcoin since 2012/2013. I’ve lived through it all, studied all cycles in detail, and I’m usually dead silent on Reddit, I just lurk, watch, and stay out of the noise. Never really comment.

But… This feels massively like the 2013 cycle and the 2021 cycle. We’d hit a top, then a brutal dip where everyone piled into the “lower lows incoming,” “it’s over,” narrative. Capitulation everywhere. Then, surprise, it bounced hard and went on to make new cycle highs.

That’s exactly what I see playing out right now.

We topped at roughly $126,200 in early October 2025. Since then we’ve had the classic post-peak flush, fear, and bearish calls for even lower prices. But to me this looks like the same retest/bounce setup we’ve seen before. The crowd is getting shaken out again right before the next leg higher.

In my experience, this is when things get very bullish. A lot of people are going to sit on the sidelines waiting for “the real bottom” that never comes.

People think the cycle top has com and we have entered bear, but the market is maturing and becoming longer. Wouldn’t surprise me at all if we see the cycle top sometime in late 2026 or 2027 in the $180k–$220k range.

Just my two sats after watching this market for over a decade. Do your own research, never financial advice… but damn if this doesn’t feel familiar in the best possible way.

Stay safe out there.

(And yeah… still not selling.)

I've been learning more about Bitcoin lately and curious what clicked for others.
What made you believe in it long term?

What do you guys think... will it HODL?

See you in a couple of hours when it plummets

Heavy liquidity in the 80s along with 2 cme gaps. If the bulls r really lucky they can hit 90k which has a ton of liquidity. At that point no one will know if we’re back in a bull market.

80s from here is still bullish. This is y u dca and buy the dips. Congrats to those who bought in the 60s.

We going moon

Look, I'm still down. I started buying near the ATH, but been buying ever since and nearing break-even now. Don't know where this story will end and if I will hold forever or sell (parts of it).

What I do know is that I learned a lot! About blockchain in the first place, about the shift in financial structure, but most of all: how to deal with volatility.

Man, when I only invested in S&P500, -2% days hit me hard. I watched my account and saw a month's salary wash away in a day. But since riding this Bitcoin train, with -50% in my first period, those small drops don't matter so much anymore.

Truly a life lesson, especially on the investing side.

If its too stressful for you, don't buy, simple. Find the middle for yourself, sit back and then relax, simple.

Please utilize this sticky thread for all general Bitcoin discussions! If you see posts on the front page or /r/Bitcoin/new which are better suited for this daily discussion thread, please help out by directing the OP to this thread instead. Thank you!

If you don't get an answer to your question, you can try phrasing it differently or commenting again tomorrow.

Please check the previous discussion thread for unanswered questions.

Should I start buying Bitcoin on another broker account?

not looking for the wallet... off line people. I know that option.

talking main place like Gemini , coin base, etc. USA available.

I've been seeing a lot of coinbase \gemni lock out\fee complaints, but don't want to go with one of the little ones.

where are you holding. where are you buying. ?

I'm currently building a Bitcoin product that aims to make buying, selling, sending, paying with and requesting Bitcoin as simple as possible. The technology is already built, and I'm currently in an 8-week program with Entrepreneurs First in San Francisco.

The biggest missing piece right now is finding the right co-founder. I'm curious what people here think makes someone a strong co-founder for a Bitcoin startup. For me, the ideal person is less about a specific resume and more someone who is extremely driven, good at execution, can build partnerships and wants to help make Bitcoin more accessible.

My own background is in engineering. I built the product myself, previously worked at Tesla, and have been focused on Bitcoin for years.

If anyone here has gone through something similar, found a co-founder through the Bitcoin community, or has advice on where to meet the right people, I'd be interested to hear it.

I have money in a traditional brokerage account which is doing typical returns. However I feel like btc has been such a better value these past few years, even with lower returns from previous cycles. I know the next BTC halving is 2028 and historically has always resulted in new ATHs.

I also know this is a biased sub to ask about this asset but if I were to dump 50k into btc now, do you think that’d it pay off? Are you expecting a 150-200k per btc?

My long term goal is to buy a house and I just feel like if I invested it now, it could possibly double that downpayment.

What are your thoughts?

Charles Schwab is beginning to roll out access to spot bitcoin in the coming weeks to their clients.

I thought this part of their press release was funny "Schwab is already a leader in digital assets"

Schwab offering bitcoin services isn't a surprise given the drumbeat of institutional adoption

first BlackRock launches a bitcoin ETF and Jane Street becomes one of its largest buyers

Morgan Stanley files for a bitcoin ETF

Goldman Sachs discloses a $1.1 billion BTC position

Abu Dhabi sovereign funds are accumulating

Harvard makes bitcoin its largest public allocation

Bitcoin price is still down ~40% and the conversation has shifted to the war and AI, but don't sleep on bitcoin because the infrastructure is being built to broaden the education and access to the asset class

and there are only 21 million

Curious to get honest feedback from the community.

Hypothetical: imagine you could buy bitcoin via a after tax deduction from your paycheck. Does not flow through your bank account. Direct buy for bitcoin, any amount, post tax, optional.

If your company offered this, would this be something youd do?

If fees were less than standard exchange rates? Same?

does anyone have feasible steps for an updated guide in 2026? i see guides on youtube that require an android phone to scan it but i dont have that. thanks

I recently bought a hardware wallet, what are the beginner mistakes I should avoid. Till now, I was holding assets on an exchange.

can i move btc from legacy address to latest taproot address? i got ledger nano s, and have very small amount of btc in 1HP and can i send it directly to taproot p2tr new address? if yes how?

i will ignore dms

The lightning network is a second-layer solution on top of the Bitcoin blockchain that enables quick, cheap and scalable Bitcoin payments.

Here is the place to discuss and learn more about lightning!

Ask your questions about lightning

Provide reviews, feedback, comparisons of LN apps, services, websites etc

Learn about new LN features, development, apps

Link to good quality resources (articles, wikis etc)

Resources:

• Here is an awesome list of resources compiled by Jameson Lopp: https://bitcoinfo.org/lightning.html

• Want to test out your lightning fire power? tip the Bitcoin devs! https://bitcoindevlist.com/

• Previous threads: Search

• Lnbook getting closer towards being finished and can already be seen at: https://github.com/lnbook/lnbook

• Lightning Dedicated YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/renepickhardt

• Also there is the playlist by chaincode labs: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLpLH33TRghT17_U3as2P3vHfAGL8pSOOY

• Lightning stores: https://www.lightningnetworkstores.com/

• Learn more and talk about lightning right here in r/Bitcoin, r/bitcoinbeginners and r/thelightningnetwork

Please utilize this sticky thread for all general Bitcoin discussions! If you see posts on the front page or /r/Bitcoin/new which are better suited for this daily discussion thread, please help out by directing the OP to this thread instead. Thank you!

If you don't get an answer to your question, you can try phrasing it differently or commenting again tomorrow.

Please check the previous discussion thread for unanswered questions.

Buy bitcoin, wealthy silent!

Kingpin suggested diversifying by investing in Bitcoin! I was so shocked, I had to rewind.

Estoy por comprar alrededor de 4mil usd en bitcoin. Dinero que justo me llegó. Ya tengo 7mil en btc. Sigo el precio todos los días y estos días ha estado a la alza. Creen que vuelva a bajar de $70mil usd o ya compro?

Que harían si fueran yo?

All ur favorite YouTubers telling u we’re gonna go lower yet check the whale buys, all time high rn. Retail is just waiting for a bottom. U think the price is going to everyone’s target?

Being on the sidelines is one thing but those of u shorting will get rekt. Especially those with leverage lol good luck. 3 green candles on the weekly, moon time

Buy now or regret missing the pump

Highly considering selling 100K worth of my global equity ETF in my TFSA and going all in Bitcoin ETF, someone convince me not to or I’m going in

I am attempting to purchase something with BTC but I cannot purchase the BTC with KYC. I have a general idea of how to get it, by buying P2P, but what I don’t understand is that whatever wallet I send it to won’t have KYC. So will I still be able to transfer it to the wallet to pay for what I’m buying?

How many of you actually attend your local meetup?

This podcast is great and I think there's so many Bitcoiners that aren't getting involved. Huge opportunity to build your own meetup.

https://open.spotify.com/show/5v5AX2C7ubaV1xjfL2EMZV?si=wfyeaPsjSeWTvRfCY9O9pw%0A

Hello, I have a concern based on semi-technical article I read on local (Czech) news site.

I have some Bitcoin in a cold storage address in the "old" format (starting with "1F...") that I have created in 2015. During the following 11 years, my BTC just sat there, with very few partial withdrawals (3 or 4 total). No "change address" was used, the remaining BTC are still in the same wallet. I do not intend to do anything with the remaining BTC in the near future, I just want them to sit there.

Unfortunately, during those 10 years, I was less active in the Bitcoin scene and did not closely watch the developments and happenings in the world of Bitcoin. I just want to hold the remaining BTC for several more years, I don't need them now.

My question is: Are my remaining BTC still reasonably safe in that old address or is there some truth to the rumor that "Old format BTC wallets are now at risk?"

P.S: Of course, my private key from that wallet is securely stored and I am aware of the importance of it not being leaked / lost. That's not what my question is about.

UPDATE: I am genuinely perplexed why some users here keep suggesting to "get Trezor". I would STILL have to store the private key somewhere (in case the Trezor malfunctions) and the device itself would only introduce a new attack vector. I am absolutely at loss understanding how Trezor could possibly be useful in my scenario, where I am only planning to do ONE additional transaction from this address to the exchange.

Elon is going to put one million satellites in orbit that will use solar power to do AI. With the halvings cutting profits of miners, cost of power going up, I wonder if bitcoin operations might all be moving to space. What would that mean?

I drive a Campervan. We're all a bit strange in that community and we like to cover our Vans in Quirky stickers.

i want a bitcoiner sticker but I don't want it too obvious or standard.

any ideas aside from the obvious HODL ?

hey there. I will openly start with I know nothing about bitcoin but my brother passed away and has left information about his 24 bitcoin.

I have read into it a bit today but most advice seems directed at the bitcoin holder, like investment strategy, security etc. I just want to put the details in and be able to transfer it to his estate? any advice?

Yes, i started buying since the February 2026. I believe this year could be a good year to start stacking.

Wish me luck boys.

See you in 10years.

I’ve been unable to log in to my Blockchain.com account since yesterday, and it’s starting to become really concerning. I’ve tried multiple ways to regain access, including completing the email verification process and using my seed phrase for recovery, but each time I run into the same issue, an error screen that prevents me from moving forward. No matter what approach I take, I seem to hit a dead end.

At this point, I’m not sure whether this is a broader issue affecting other users or something specific to my account. That’s part of why I’m posting here , I’m hoping to find out if anyone else has experienced something similar recently. If this is a system-wide problem, at least I’ll know I’m not alone, but if it’s just me, then I need to figure out what exactly is going wrong and how to fix it.

What’s making the situation more stressful is that I currently have over $5,000 worth of assets in my Blockchain wallet. Being locked out without any clear explanation or immediate support is honestly frustrating and a bit alarming. I understand that security measures can sometimes create extra steps or delays, but being completely unable to access my account despite using the correct credentials and recovery methods is another level entirely.

I’ve already reached out to customer support, but so far the response has been very slow and not particularly helpful. I haven’t received any clear guidance or timeline for resolution, which just adds to the uncertainty. Given how time-sensitive crypto markets can be, this lack of responsiveness is especially difficult to deal with.

I’ve also tried basic troubleshooting steps on my end—clearing cache, switching devices and browsers, and ensuring my internet connection is stable but none of these have made a difference. The issue persists regardless of what I try, which makes me think it could be something deeper, either on the platform’s side or related to account verification.

Has anyone else run into login or recovery issues like this with Blockchain.com recently? If so, how did you resolve it? Were you able to regain access on your own, or did it require intervention from support? Any advice, insight, or shared experiences would be really appreciated right now.

At this point, I’m just trying to understand what’s happening and find a reliable way to regain access to my account. Thanks in advance to anyone who can help or point me in the right direction.

Please utilize this sticky thread for all general Bitcoin discussions! If you see posts on the front page or /r/Bitcoin/new which are better suited for this daily discussion thread, please help out by directing the OP to this thread instead. Thank you!

If you don't get an answer to your question, you can try phrasing it differently or commenting again tomorrow.

Please check the previous discussion thread for unanswered questions.

wondering other opinions, if you had 20k to 25k to invest in crypto, which would you choose and why?

open to high and low risk suggestions. bitcoin good option currently?

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Electricity cost matters more than equipment choice.

S21 at $0.15/kWh = loss

S19 at $0.06/kWh = profit

It's really that simple.

Get your power situation right. Everything else is easier.

“Provably fair” gets mentioned a lot in crypto casinos now. It sounds good and all, but after looking into it more, I realized the term has been watered down by many. Some sites implement it well, while others just mention it just so they can look great on the surface.

Hey guys, i am working on a wallet as a service platform that focuses on a lightning network. But right now i am having trouble recieving funds from other lightning wallets, please help. I would really appreciate. I am using a managed lightning node on voltage.

The Bitcoin supply is not capped at 21 million. It asymptotically approaches 21 million.

My question is, suppose in the year 2150, after subsidies have ended, the value of BTC is so high that we need to add another decimal point. Would adding that decimal point unlock extra room to approach the 21 million number more and make subsidies resume for a while?

I live in France and I want to tell the government what I own (for taxes etc. no problem I’m not against that)

BUT

This year the government files have been often hacked A LOT and some people kidnapped crypto owners to steal them (It is a massive problem in France in 2026)

I don’t own that much, but I care more about my assets safety and of course my own safety, than laws, if laws can’t protect me.

I heard some people that tend to fear it like me.

What are your suggestions ?

But guys, why does the price go up? *wipes drool* The scheduled low is in October where we have the scheduled buy where everyone will buy low and it will surely be like that cause its scheduled no?

how does it feel watching institutions and smart retail buying it up when the price is low, while you watch the price rise and wait for it to go lower "soon"?

Just curious, at what point will the special rest accept that the train is leavig the station?

I’m going above and beyond so jump on board because it’s happening….Can you feel it? LFG BTC ????????????????????????????????????????

What are the different methods/ platforms that one can use to earn income from their Bitcoin while retaining custody? Is there anything in place that facilitates this?

Please utilize this sticky thread for all general Bitcoin discussions! If you see posts on the front page or /r/Bitcoin/new which are better suited for this daily discussion thread, please help out by directing the OP to this thread instead. Thank you!

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Hi I usually use coinjar but recently they are requiring full details of the recipient of sent crypto, I'm looking for some info on the easiest way to send coin. I'm ok with giving my info but the recipient isn't, screw coinjar

I am bailing on this disaster. I am putting it all into bitcoin. Not to try and make money but to literally save my life.

I can’t find any reasonable explanation of the price rise. Any suggestions?

Hello I want to buy me a hardware wallet what you think about the Onekey Classic 1s?

So, all in all, I had/have 2.4 BTC in my cold wallet. Like 2 weeks ago I had the fortunate opportunity to buy 0.1 BTC more. I ended up leaving that to Binance, just to collect the sats from staking, etc.

Would you guys leave 0.1 BTC to Binance (or similar) to stake etc., considering that a much bigger portion of your holdings is safe and secure in your cold wallet? Just wanted to hear everyone’s opinion. Thanks and cheers!

Edit: Thanks for your input everyone. I withdrew all of my balance to my cold wallet. Better safe than sorry, right? Happy stacking everyone????

Looking to borrow some usd against my bitcoin to fund a small business investment and looking at coinbase loans. The rate looks very competitive but not 100% sure how it works and wanna make sure it’s completely legit before handing over any of my stack. Any insight on any of the following q’s would be much appreciated…

• What is morpho exactly (just the name of Coinbase’s lending product)?
• Why does it say I need to ‘wrap’ my bitcoin (is that a bad thing)?
• How do the smart contracts work (do these require you to be an advanced user)?
• What protections are there against liquidations when price fluctuates?
• How are they able to offer such a low APR compared to others on the market?
• Is there any customer support if something goes wrong?
• Are there any risks I should be aware of before getting started (e.g. could the whole blockfi thing happen again)?

Thanks in advance for any insight - I guess I just wanna know if this is gonna be manageable for a normie like me or if it's too risky.

Yo guys, dont fall to fomo. Simply short it NOW! You gonna get some real profit , yeaigh

Ask (and answer!) away! Here are the general rules:

• If you'd like to learn something, ask.
• If you'd like to share knowledge, answer.
• Any question about Bitcoin is fair game.

And don't forget to check out /r/BitcoinBeginners

You can sort by new to see the latest questions that may not be answered yet.

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Money is the operating system of society. If the operating system is owned by a private group, used as a tool for social engineering and can be printed at will, then the "bugs" we see—inflation, wealth inequality, and constant war—are actually features of that specific design.

By moving to a system with a fixed supply you aren't just changing a currency; you are changing the underlying incentives of human civilization.

Because Iran merely threatened to collect tolls in bitcoin, and the US KNOWS bitcoin is unstoppable, the US now has to work against their ONLY military objective with their entire military might.

The Admin got played.

wasn't the whole purpose of bitcoin was to replace the almighty dollar? like right now i feel like it should be even more valuable but you know the war so lets sell off. like whats the point of it if it reacts to the market

Been hodling for quite some time now but perhaps not as long as 95% of the people here.

With all of the fiasco happening, why does it feel like something's supporting the floor now?Lots of retail response with the recent news but after every dip, it gets back up easily. Very keen to know what are the technicalities on this and why it's acting this way. Thanks heaps!

Hi,

I'm running into a problem while testing multisig transfers on Testnet4 using a Coldcard Q (CCQ) and Sparrow Wallet.

CCQ version : 1.4.0

Sparrow version : 2.4.2

Setup:

• 2-of-3 multisig wallet (also tested with 2-of-5)
• All 3 keys derived from the same seed on the CCQ (separate HD wallets)
• Network: Testnet4
• Signing flow: SD card (PSBT → CCQ → signed file → Sparrow)

Steps:

1. I sign the part.psbt with the first wallet on the CCQ → Sparrow recognises and validates the signature with no issue.
2. I switch to a second wallet on the CCQ and sign the part.psbt again → the CCQ saves a .txn file to the SD card.
3. I load that .txn into Sparrow → the transaction displays correctly, but the second signature is not recognised and broadcasting is not possible.

What's strange:

• This issue occurs on Windows and Linux Debian 13.
• On macOS, the exact same operation with the same wallet and the same transaction works perfectly: Sparrow validates both signatures and allows broadcasting.

Question: The problem therefore appears to be related to Sparrow's behaviour depending on the OS, rather than anything to do with the CCQ or the wallet itself. Has anyone encountered this before? Is there a known difference in how Sparrow handles PSBT/TXID files between Windows/Linux and macOS?

I'm not comfortable setting up a multisig wallet for mainnet use until I understand what's causing this.

Thanks in advance.

In 2018 the Cash App website let you buy a children's book "My First Bitcoin and the Legend of Satoshi Nakamoto". Does anyone know where you can still get copies of this?

so I don’t know much about bitcoin but I do know that trying to sign up for coinbase needs you to be above 18. how to get a btc address that can receive btc which can just stay in that account till I turn 18.

For me, it's every time BTC ranges — it always feels like an opportunity to accumulate.

Now seeing reports about Iran potentially using Bitcoin for oil transit payments through the Strait of Hormuz…

Do you think stories like this actually matter for Bitcoin long term?

Everything else is an IOU.

thank you for attending my Sunday Bitcoin Talk.

EDIT: Removed the 95% stack retention claim. That number was wrong. The core SWR finding ($20K/yr, 99% survival, 30 years) stands. Thanks to commenters who caught it.

This is the third post in the series. First one covered why 5 BTC beats $2.5M in an S&P index fund, second one went deeper on the math.

I went another layer deeper and this one gives you a single number.

1 BTC = $20K per year safe withdrawals for the next 30 years with 99% confidence.
2 BTC = $40K.
3 BTC = $60K.
5 BTC = $100K.

No timing. No trading. You just sell a fixed dollar amount every month at whatever price Bitcoin happens to be. Dumbest possible strategy and it works.

How I got here

I ran 5,000 simulated price paths forward at every possible starting price between deep bear (half of trend) and peak bull (2.5x trend). Six different stress scenarios. Three time horizons. Nearly a million total simulations.

The model isn't a line on a chart. It has four moving parts:

• A power law trend that decelerates over decades. No infinite-growth fairy tales.
• A price floor at 0.432x trend. Tested every cycle. Never broken. Reflects back up.
• Mean reversion. Prices that stretch away from the long-term trend get pulled back, like a rubber band. Measured half-life: about 11 months.
• Fat-tailed shocks and a wobbly floor in the stress scenarios, because I wanted to break it.

I couldn't.

$20K is the stress test, not the base case

The $20K number assumes your cost of living grows at 7% per year. Your expenses double every decade. That matches M2 money supply growth, which is what most Bitcoiners mean when they say "real inflation."

Under milder assumptions the number goes up:

• 3% CPI: $25-27K per BTC per year
• No inflation growth: $27-31K per BTC per year

$20K is the floor of the floor. Harshest inflation assumption. 99% in-model survival. 30 year horizon.

Entry price doesn't matter

This is the finding that surprised me most.

At 30 years, the difference in safe withdrawal between buying at the bottom and buying at the top is about $1,000 per year. The curves are almost flat.

The reason is mean reversion. If you buy low, prices pull you back to trend within about two years. If you buy high, same thing in reverse. After that, both buyers spend the remaining 28 years selling into the same price distribution. The early advantage or disadvantage washes out.

This is the opposite of stocks. In equity retirement planning, buying at a high valuation crushes your safe withdrawal rate. With Bitcoin under the power law, it doesn't. Mean reversion rescues bear buyers and humbles bull buyers, and the net effect on your wallet is roughly zero.

The comparison that matters

The traditional 4% rule says you need $500K in an S&P 500 index fund to safely pull $20K per year. One bitcoin at today's trend price (~$131K) does the same job.

At bear entries the comparison gets silly. A bitcoin bought at 0.52x trend (~$69K) supports a 29% annual withdrawal rate relative to purchase price. The Bengen 4% rule doesn't compete. It's not even the same sport.

What this is NOT saying

This is a model. The power law has held for 15 years across four complete halving cycles. That's real data. But 15 years is not 150 years.

I price the model risk separately: roughly a 1% structural haircut over 30 years. That brings true survival from 99% to about 98%.

The question isn't whether Bitcoin will crash 80%. The model already handles that. The question is whether adoption keeps following the power law and whether the floor holds. Those are the only two things that matter. Everything else is already in the stress test.

All figures are pre-tax. Account for your local capital gains treatment when planning actual spendable income.

Bottom line

1 BTC = $20K per year. Worst case inflation. Any entry price. 99% in-model reliability. 30 years.

Stack accordingly.

Research and methodology is published on https://btcpowerlaw.nl/research/bitcoin-swr/

Please utilize this sticky thread for all general Bitcoin discussions! If you see posts on the front page or /r/Bitcoin/new which are better suited for this daily discussion thread, please help out by directing the OP to this thread instead. Thank you!

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Let that sink in for a second.

One week ago retail was heavily long at 1.73 L/S ratio. Today it's 0.745 — net short. In seven days retail went from max bullish to betting against BTC.

Meanwhile Morgan Stanley is rolling out BTC ETF access to 16,000 financial advisors. Institutional infrastructure is expanding while retail is panic shorting.

Fear & Greed went from 9 to 16 — still Extreme Fear but improving. The weekly trend: 9, 11, 12, 13, 11, 17, 14, 16. Slowly grinding up while retail flips bearish.

BTC is 15.3% below the 200 EMA at $84,632 so the macro structure is still bearish. No argument there. But the aggressor ratio is at 0.6213 — that's buy dominant. Somebody is accumulating while retail exits.

Iran-US talks collapsing yesterday pushed price from $73.8K to $71.6K. Geopolitics is driving short term action but it doesn't change the fact that institutional rails are being built in the background.

The last time retail was this short and institutions were this active, it didn't end well for the shorts.

Just a quick heads up for anyone waking up tomorrow and wondering why crypto dipped again.

The US–Iran meeting that’s been going on for the past 21 hours just ended, and it didn’t go well at all.

Markets usually react fast to stuff like this, so if your portfolio looks red, that’s probably the reason.

Not trying to spread fear, just giving you a bit of context so you’re not confused when you check your wallet. Stay safe out there guys and DO NOT PANIC-SELL based on emotions.

Do your own research and don’t make decisions based on short-term news.

Sooner or later we'll fly in green again (i hope????)

So, just how much Bitcoin does one sell to make the market drop $1000?

HODL in the name of HODL!
Sats for your Stack of Sats!

Sell the fiat. Shun the ETF. Purge the shitcoin.

Cold storage protects.
And thou shall protect what you Hodl, from hackers and roommates alike, for they will un-hodl your sats, and there is no greater sin than that.

Should your private keys pass beyond your ken, despair not but rejoice, for your humble sats were granted the ultimate honor of joining the mighty coins of Satoshi in the noble realm of Eternal Hodl.

May your DCA be daily and strong.

Many Bitcoiners know the core value prop - scarcity, decentralization, sound money (e.g Austrian Economics and all that). But if you're a consistent DCA buyer like I am, you've felt the other side of that: buying at local tops and immediately watching a 10-20% drawdown hit your stack.

TLDR: Bitcoin's no wash sale rule means every dip is a tax harvesting opportunity. Most people know this exists. Almost nobody is actually doing it systematically.

What most Bitcoiners don't know is that volatility creates a legal tax harvesting opportunity that essentially doesn't exist for other kinds of investors.

Here’s why this works (and why it’s different from stocks):

In 2014, the IRS issued Notice 2014-21 classifying Bitcoin as property, not a security. This means the wash sale rule which prevents stock investors from selling at a loss and immediately rebuying - doesn't actually apply to Bitcoin**.**

In practice: if you bought 1 BTC at $110,000 and it drops to $80,000, you can sell and rebuy within seconds, locking in a $30,000 capital loss while maintaining your exact position. No 30-day waiting period. No penalty.

The obvious question then is, what about the spread? If you're in a 32% bracket in the US, that $30k loss is a $9,600 deduction*. Even after a 0.5% exchange spread (maybe $500 on the round trip), you're still up over $9,000 in liquidity immediately. You're exchanging a small certain cost for a massive tax benefit you can redeploy. (Quick note on how the losses actually apply: up to $3,000 per year offsets your ordinary W2 income directly - so a few hundred bucks back at minimum regardless of your gains situation. Everything above that carries forward indefinitely to offset future capital gains. So even if you have no gains this year, the losses don't disappear - they stack.) Ten dollars of tax savings compounding in BTC for a decade is worth a lot more than ten dollars at filing time years from now.

The catch now is that actually doing this is a nightmare.

If you're DCA'ing regularly, figuring out which specific lots are harvestable - and exactly when - is genuinely tedious to do manually. And while tools are out there that show you harvesting opportunities, they're broad ????coin tax reporting platforms where Bitcoin is one of hundreds of nonsense assets. They show you a snapshot - they don't continuously monitor your positions and alert you automatically as opportunities emerge throughout the year & harvest them for you.

I'm an engineer who got annoyed doing this by hand with my Strike => self custody setup and built a software layer specifically for this. Bitcoin-only, continuously monitors your cost basis across your exchange accounts, surfaces harvestable opportunities in real time, and executes the harvest automatically across all major exchanges with full tax lot tracking updated instantly.

Personally, I didn’t want to host other people’s API keys, so I also built a self-host option for more technically savvy & privacy centric brothers/sisters. You can run it via your own GitHub Secrets so the keys never leave your infrastructure. If you want managed software with reports to share with your CPA and stuff like that, that's also available.

If anyone wants to try it or learn more, I’ve got 10 spots for the first people from the sub who want to jump in & try it out. Happy to help with the setup personally!

EDIT:

Okay so this post has blown up more than anticipated. Transparently I was only initially planning to allow for 10 users to try from the sub and we’ve nearly reached that threshold. Feel free to leave a comment or DM me directly if you’d be interested and I’ll be happy to talk through things.

We don’t support all exchanges and all hardware wallets today although we support the major ones and are adding more. Let me know if you have any questions or concerns!

Hello,

I am a newbie to bitcoin, and I want to learn more about it, how it actually works, and how to obtain it. I am though very nervous about what sources are true and just a google search will not give me the full story. Does one really need a doctorate in tech to be able to work with a mine bitcoin? I want to learn and be able to see what it is all about, and all advice is welcome. Thanks

Will governments seek to freeze or ban btc that has passed through Iranian wallets? Will they punish individuals or organizations that accept or spend tainted btc? At 2 million dollars per tanker, that adds up quickly.

I like knowing that I’m one of the miners working to clear my own transaction, and that if I succeed, the fees I’m paying will come back to me. I have very little hash power, so the odds are astronomical, but I enjoy the feeling of participation and increased connection to how the technology works.

• Iran’s Strait of Hormuz Management Plan, passed in late March 2026, mandates Bitcoin toll payments.
• Each fully laden tanker carrying 2 million barrels faces a Bitcoin toll of up to $2 million.
• Bitcoin surged toward $73,000 as shipping firms faced the prospect of stockpiling BTC for tolls.
• Stablecoins were rejected due to freeze functions and GENIUS framework compliance requirements.

I wanted to use a BIP-85 child seed with a lightning wallet (which naturally also supports on-chain) and apparently it wasn't possible. I tried with Aqua and with Phoenix, but they both state that you can only restore a wallet with seeds generated from that same wallet... What's up with that? It kind of defeats the purpose of having only one seed to rule them all.

Is this a limitation on all lightning wallets? Does anyone know of a wallet where it is possible to do it?

Thanks in advance.

B-b-but the cycle... Stop. This is not the past.

It doesn't follow the imaginary lines people make up to feel in control. It can legit shoot up from here, and if it "follows the cycle and goes down" it doesn't mean it will have to go up again.

For now, it looks like the train is leaving the station.

Well i guess it’s time we rip!

A boomer told me that the best assets are tangible ones etc houses and alike.

A non investor told me to stay in cash cuz market will collapse lol

Knowing Donald dump he will pump the markets for midterms.

Every cycle we talk about the supply shock, but I’m noticing that volatility is increasingly front-run by institutional algorithms months in advance.

Are we reaching a point where the Halving is fully priced in by the time it actually happens? As a developer, I’m seeing more "smart money" infrastructure being built around predicting bot behavior rather than actual supply changes. What’s your take? Is the halving still a factor, or just a scheduled volatility event for the algos?

The stock market is closed on weekend. Bitcoin is one of the few assets that can be traded on weekend. By my understanding, that would mean bitcoins volume should be higher on weekend than on weekdays because traders cant trade stocks, so trading focused on bitcoin. But bitcoins volume on weekends is actually lower than on weekdays, despite weekend, by my logic, being the time frame where everyone would jump to bitcoin because the stock market is closed

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I bought BTC back in 2012-ish

G'day everyone,

I have leftover coins on an old, cracked screen phone. Short of replacing the guts of the phone, I have found only a wallet address in my records.

I can't remember which android app I used for the wallet, but what are the chances I can recover the wallet with the address? I can't remember if I set up a seed phrase, probably did.

It'd come in really handy right now, always worked hard and after injuries and the Dingo attack on Fraser while working as a Tour Guide (in THAT camp, PTSD type condition after that, actually rocked me) I'm currently in between careers and struggling so whatever I have left in that wallet would be of great use.

Cheers for your time,

To the mooooon. (I had no idea what BTC even was back then, one look at the darknet and I didn't know what I'd got myself into).

What if every home in the world with electricity had a 6 TH/s miner plugged in or a 200 TH/s the same way every home has a bathroom or shower? How would that level of universal mining power affect block discovery and ultimately the future of Bitcoin itself?

It looks like the block explorer has been hacked on Blockchain.com. When you search for a wallet address it shows you bunch of specific addresses only.

For example for Satoshi address: https://www.blockchain.com/en/explorer/addresses/btc/1A1zP1eP5QGefi2DMPTfTL5SLmv7DivfNa, it shows me the following ones only:

1PyJph17b4nAKqp4UvbxUZXpoesDzvZkVL
1PAZba3CAFRYm7gNBhrzH8Dz1FkYDCwJPs
1PyJph17b4nAKqp4UvbxUZXpoesDzvZkVL
1PbwAPq7aUepWrrToVh1snhv8mqy9wrGnk
bc1qdmaslupuaetajnfzex8zw6jc93ww32ur6gj3we

Be aware guys. Also it will be great to report it to Blockchain, but their support system a bit hard to use. Hope they are reading r/Bitcoin sometimes.

If you’ve been hodling on Fiat thinking if it’s time, it’s about time for a good swing. Buy in!!

I have a business and the margins are negative to breakeven. part of this is the rate people are scamming using services and chargebacks. It is small but it happens.

Basically, you order custom, we make custom and you pick up. There is zero chance of you not getting the custom order. But we do not have zero chargebacks.

I see maps of services much smaller than us even though we still are small potatoes in our industry, that accept bitcoin payments and all over the map these are square app enabled lightning network payments. no chargebacks and most importantly over that no interchange fees. How can I start taking bitcoin payments? Is my business too big? Is it only service businesses being allowed since they do not charge sales tax? I would make all inclusive pricing if sales tax were the issue. Both interchange and chargebacks are drowning me. There is often no money to pay myself when these people steal this way. It took three months of working a second job to finally be back to cashflow positive. Except quarterly sales tax is due in weeks so we may actually still be negative on that aspect.

I just want to get paid for the service and goods we provide. I dont want to educate people how to make things harder on the little guy so I wont elaborate. People pay once they have the goods and services provided in person. We dont know a better way to combat the ways people are scamming the system but taking bitcoin payments would be a step in that direction.

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Please check the previous discussion thread for unanswered questions.

This is common in almost every technology growth cycle.

First there is the initial hype, then there is a period of innovation where the technology matures, then there is a secondary period of high growth and hype that reflects its built-out maturity, enhanced user experience, and mainstream integration.

These three stages look like this with bitcoin.

2009 - 2017: Initial hype (parabolic price action)

2018 - 2026: Innovation (price stagnation)

2027 - 2035: Maturity (parabolic price action)

After these three stages we will reach mass adoption, which would in theory equal a 26 year adoption cycle from whitepaper to mass adoption.

The last 8 or so years in bitcoin have felt boring, but thats just because the price action has been going nowhere. for example we are currently at the same prices seen in 2021 and only 3x the prices seen in 2017.

But this is exactly how the innovation stage works. It appears boring however there is a ton of building going on behind the scenes to make bitcoins user experience intuitive while integrating it into mainstream finance and technology apps. It just feels boring because we dont see all the innovation happening behind the scenes.

Once all these years of innovation start to present themselves in the mainstream world the second hype/growth stage begins where the price moves into a parabolic stage once again as it reflects the maturity of bitcoin.

The best is yet to come not just for price, but also for user adoption.

ADX hit 60.1 on the 4H. That's an absurdly strong trend reading. EMA ribbon flipped bullish. MACD is at +563. By every technical measure this is a confirmed uptrend.

Meanwhile Fear & Greed is at 16. Extreme Fear. Retail is actually net short at 0.86 while smart money flipped long at 1.06.

Let that sink in — smart money is long, retail is short, technicals are screaming bullish, and sentiment is at the floor.

Ohhh and CPI drops in a few hours. If it comes in cool, this thing flies. If it comes in hot, we retest $69K and everyone says "told you so."

Best asymmetric setup in weeks and almost nobody is talking about it.

I noticed the spread is really wide on Bitcoin, so do you prefer to set limit orders or market buy?

My Complaint Against calvoro funding : I still haven't received my funded account from calvoro. I have already made the full payment. It has been nearly four days now; I reached out to support, but I haven't received any substantial response. They are just doing scam

Please help me for this situation and tag calvoro funding INDIA

Is it actually going to go up?

This is a call to focus. This is a call for growth.

There is only one way to know Satoshi. We are fairly certain Satoshi is a composite of all the minds that contributed to the original white paper, that founded what we have now. The first prophets of the financial rebirth.

I get that publicity is a good thing, any news is good news to some degree. But I also hate that so much attention is being spent on trying to out a collective or individual that doesn’t want to be known.

If Satoshi wanted to be known, we’d see a single transaction from one of the wallets. We haven’t seen it, we won’t see it, I wish they would stop the witch hunt. Some fabled mythos serve the purpose of being a faceless icon of things to come. Why can’t the world embrace this creation and stop trying to put a face to the name. Let the dust settle as we focus on the road ahead. It’s a sycophantic chase to have something to point a finger at by the non-believers.

I call to the mods to ban posts of witch-hunt articles. Baseless claims need not be supported. This crap comes in waves and there has to come a point where we just stop listening. I vote that this wave is the last straw. I love them for what they gave us, but we are more than a name. More than a series of wallets. Shake the dust.

I use the bitcoin core wallet on my PC, and I have an old wallet that I saved from another computer and I am trying to restore/get that wallet open. I have the .dat file and the entire wallet folder saved, but every time I try to load the wallet it says it’s not a recognized format.

What Does the Right Investment Philosophy Really Look Like? I’ve noticed that too many people jump into trading stocks, options, and cryptocurrencies without understanding the market at all. They treat investing like gambling

I used to be exactly the same. I’d see one piece of news and think this is going to moon, or hear someone say a coin would 10x, and immediately open an account, add leverage, and go all in. The result? Emotions took over. I traded frequently, couldn’t stick to stop losses, and definitely couldn’t take profits. In the end, I lost a lot of money. That wasn’t investing, it was just being a really bad gambler

Later, I switched everything to a long-term strategy, and it completely changed both my approach and my mindset. I stopped staring at candlestick charts every day, stopped getting anxious over daily price swings, and stopped trying to predict where the market would be next month

In my opinion, the right investment philosophy can actually be summarized in a few simple points: Buy things you truly understand. Practice delayed gratification. Diversify and hold long-term. Control greed and fear. Treat investing as a business, not a casino.More learning and research, instead of mindlessly losing money. Even something as “boring” as VOO is far better than throwing your money into the abyss, at least it’s stable

Are you a user who contributes to the Bitcoin network? For example, by running a node or mining Bitcoin?

If anyone is interested, we have an online-only Bitcoin Meetup group where we have live video discussions on various Bitcoin topics with other Bitcoiners. No shitcoins allowed!

Our next event is April 16th.

https://www.meetup.com/bitcoin-worldwide/events/313614294/?eventOrigin=group_upcoming_events

It's been a wild week for solo miners. Four different miners hit blocks in the past 7 days across three different solo pools, taking home a combined ~12.47 BTC (~$853,000 USD). The little guys keep winning.

???? [Block 943,411](https://mempool.space/block/00000000000000000000bef7f0870c24f2962cf83949e96c7288cf30f0d74bf0) (April 2)

Pool: Solo CK

Hashrate: ~240 TH/s

Reward: 3.07 BTC (~$205,949 USD)

3,961 transactions | 1.4M sats in fees

Fee range: 0.00 to 477 sat/vB

312th solo block on CKPool. First in 33 days.

Odds: ~1 in 28,000 per day

???? [Block 943,466](https://mempool.space/block/943466) (April 3)

Pool: Public Pool (the pool's first ever solo block)

Devices: NerdOCTAXE (8.2 TH/s) + NerdQaxe+ (2.9 TH/s) + NerdQaxe++ (7.4 TH/s)

Total hashrate: 18.5 TH/s

Reward: 3.14 BTC (~$209,597 USD)

2,359 transactions | 2.3M sats in fees

Fee range: 1.00 to 448 sat/vB

All open-source hardware. Zero pool fees.

???? [Block 944,078](https://mempool.space/block/944078) (April 7)

Pool: Noderunners Mining Pool

Device: NerdQaxe++

Reward: 3.13 BTC (~$215,163 USD)

3,927 transactions | 706.4k sats in fees

Fee range: 0.13 to 85.0 sat/vB

Another open-source miner gets a win.

???? [Block 944,306](https://mempool.space/block/000000000000000000012d5e7b4745f92b9cd60241854e38be68d9b182feabcb) (April 9)

Pool: Solo CK (EU)

Device: Antminer S19 (~70 TH/s)

Reward: 3.128 BTC (~$222,722 USD)

440 transactions | 299.2k sats in fees

Fee range: 1.00 to 20.25 sat/vB

313th solo block on CKPool

Odds: ~1 in 100,000 per day (once every ~300 years)

For context, the entire Bitcoin network is running at ~1 ZH/s (1,000,000 TH/s). These miners represent a rounding error of the total hashrate, yet they're pulling full block rewards worth six figures.

Solo mining is the ultimate Bitcoin lottery. You either win everything or nothing. No reward splitting, no pool politics. Just you, your hardware, and SHA-256.

4 solo blocks in one week is absolutely nuts.

Every pump makes people greedy, every dip makes them panic. The real BTC gains go to those who think long-term and don’t react to every candle.
How do you train yourself to ignore the noise and stick to your plan?

Not talking about the technical setup, more the mental model shift. Before running a node I understood Bitcoin conceptually. After, the trust model clicked in a different way. Curious what other people noticed changed in how they think about it.

The lightning network is a second-layer solution on top of the Bitcoin blockchain that enables quick, cheap and scalable Bitcoin payments.

Here is the place to discuss and learn more about lightning!

Ask your questions about lightning

Provide reviews, feedback, comparisons of LN apps, services, websites etc

Learn about new LN features, development, apps

Link to good quality resources (articles, wikis etc)

Resources:

• Here is an awesome list of resources compiled by Jameson Lopp: https://bitcoinfo.org/lightning.html

• Want to test out your lightning fire power? tip the Bitcoin devs! https://bitcoindevlist.com/

• Previous threads: Search

• Lnbook getting closer towards being finished and can already be seen at: https://github.com/lnbook/lnbook

• Lightning Dedicated YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/renepickhardt

• Also there is the playlist by chaincode labs: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLpLH33TRghT17_U3as2P3vHfAGL8pSOOY

• Lightning stores: https://www.lightningnetworkstores.com/

• Learn more and talk about lightning right here in r/Bitcoin, r/bitcoinbeginners and r/thelightningnetwork

Think about what just happened.

Iran ceasefire. Morgan Stanley launches a Bitcoin ETF. $471M pours into BTC ETFs in a single day. Price hits $72.7K. $280M in shorts get liquidated.

And sentiment got WORSE. Not better. Worse.

Fear & Greed was 17 before the rally. Today it's 14. The market saw the most bullish news combination in months and responded by getting more afraid.

I've been watching this index for a long time. A rally on major positive catalysts that DROPS sentiment instead of lifting it tells you one thing: the people with real money don't believe this move. The $280M in liquidations means the pump was fueled by short squeezes, not by new buyers who want to hold.

Halving anniversary is April 20. CPI drops tomorrow. The next two weeks will tell us if this was the start of something or just noise.

But that Fear & Greed number should bother everyone who went long yesterday.

More dips, shake it out, shake it out the weak hands

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Im so sorry guys! Im going to start buying in now meaning it’s going to crash! So for you regards out there that only buy when its high go ahead and make that purchase ????

From my research, because of the rules in Canada, I can't find any platforms that allow leverage crypto trading. Should I use a VPN to access these platforms? Is the VPN route safe? Thank you.

It's easy, just watch for those compulsive comments like "SHORT SHORT SHORT" and guess the overall sentiment. If everyone is bearish i look for long opportunities and vice versa.

These unprofitable retails will often scream buy or sell, completely unaware that the main trend is already exhausted: that's exactly when the large pockets step in to scale their positions. They will then get confused when BTC moves against them, and will never admit they were wrong, blaming it all on news.

This works so many times, it's actually funny.

If you're one of them, my guy, you should know where you stand as a retail trader: at the bottom of the food chain.

There are three planned runs of mining slow-to-validate blocks on signet today. This is a stream of some of my monitoring for the 2nd and 3rd run. You can find more context on https://delvingbitcoin.org/t/consensus-cleanup-demo-of-slow-blocks-on-signet/2367/

Developer 0xb10c live streams the demo of slow(ish) blocks on Signet ran in the context of BIP 54 (Consensus Cleanup).

I run an automated monitoring system that tracks BTC orderflow, on-chain data, and macro signals around the clock.

Today's rally looks amazing on the surface. $71.7K, +4.37%, $471M in ETF inflows. But my system flagged 3 problems:

The sellers are hiding inside the rally. A metric I track called VPIN — it measures how much "smart money" is moving — hit 0.91. That's extreme. The sell-to-buy transaction ratio is roughly 7:1. Somebody big is using this pump as an exit.

Volume is lying. On the 1-hour chart, actual buying volume is shrinking while price climbs. This divergence is how most "fake breakouts" start. My system targets $68,500-70,000 as the likely pullback zone.

History says this pattern loses. Going long during a bear market bounce has a 90.3% loss rate in my dataset (31 instances). The bearish regime hasn't changed — one good day of news doesn't flip the structure.

I'm watching $68,500-70,000. If BTC gets there and seller activity calms down, that's where things get interesting again. BTC halving anniversary April 20 could add positive sentiment heading into it.

But CPI April 10 first. I don't touch anything around that release.

What's your take — sustainable move or news-driven bounce?

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-15715043/Bitcoin-inventor-unmasked-55-year-old-British-encryption-expert-writing-style-gave-away.html#

https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/04/08/iran-eyes-crypto-toll-for-oil-tanker-transit-through-strait-of-hormuz

1. short-term thinking leads to bad decisions

2. trying to time the market usually fails

3. patience beats constant trading

What did Bitcoin teach you?

Morgan Stanley's bitcoin ETF comes with a 0.14% annual fee, making it the lowest in the spot BTC ETF market and undercutting BlackRock's IBIT (0.25%)

https://www.reddit.com/r/askanything/comments/1s8mrgl/comment/oenq0i2/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web3x&utm_name=web3xcss&utm_term=1&utm_content=share_button

I thought some of you might like to read this comment. I was debating this guy for a while until he finally spit this sentence out:

I didn't misrepresent anything. How is "sending [XYZ] unlimited distance without a third party" unique at all? How is this any different than a wire transfer? I guess there is banking intermediation, but I am not aware of the ability to send Bitcoin without some intermediating service, either.

This absolutely baffled me, as he was confidently debating me for quite a while, then accidentally admitted he thought bitcoin required an "intermediating service". I called him out and he has since not responded...lol.

Shall i accumulate more?

Or wait and hodl.

Just wondering: do you guys take this index into consideration at all (for buying decisions and such)?

How do I get into bitcoin? I’m 19 and have always been intrigued by the way bitcoin works since I could fully process what it was and always wanted to get into it but could never figure out where to start

Please utilize this sticky thread for all general Bitcoin discussions! If you see posts on the front page or /r/Bitcoin/new which are better suited for this daily discussion thread, please help out by directing the OP to this thread instead. Thank you!

If you don't get an answer to your question, you can try phrasing it differently or commenting again tomorrow.

Please check the previous discussion thread for unanswered questions.

I’ve been waiting over two hours for a transaction that when I set it my wallet was set to sat 3 priority yet upon actually looking at the transaction id on mempool it says it’s in the sat 2 block, meaning it is stuck behind everything else (like what I was led to believe would be my transaction!)

I find this to be a deceptive practice. Aitah for this?

Wake me up when Bitcoin finally

Based on the level of responses, criticism, disbelief, and a few compliments...I believe I can help open the minds of many of you.

Every week, I will talk with you about Bitcoin and explain why it is so important for our generation.

IN BITCOIN WE TRUST.

Let’s move forward…

Obviously bear markets have exposed the unwise.

What are the safer, more legitimate ways to take on a very modest amount of leverage against my Bitcoin stake? I’d like to buy some more at these prices.

Thank you

My “decision” process over the last few weeks went something like this:

65.5k → don’t invest yet, it will drop further

66.0k → dead cat bounce!

67.5k → fake out, sellers will win this fight

68.0k → too high, invest when it drops to 66.0k

71.5k → what the hell is going on?

Time in the market beats timing the market, I know.

I'm looking for a cheap way to buy bitcoin, i'm getting a crazy rate on OKX which is all but okay.

In Singaporean dollar BTC on OKX is 88.7k but when I preview my purchase it’s 90.0k, i'm speechless.

There is a lot to talk about, but if you want to read more: https://www.xverse.app/blog/what-is-spark-bitcoin-l2

quick TL;DR:

• Spark is a Bitcoin L2 designed for fast, cheap, and self-custodial transactions, leveraging statechain tech and atomic swaps.
• Spark supports the issuance and transfer of stablecoins and tokens on Bitcoin, enabling new financial use cases such as payments, trading, and earning stablecoin yield.
• Spark provides a scalable ecosystem for wallets, developers, and businesses to build financial apps interoperable with Lightning Network and Taproot Assets.

Wallet of Satoshi now integrates Spark, letting you create a self-custodial wallet, secure your 12 word seed, and seamlessly send/receive BTC on the Lightning Network while staying fully in control of your funds.

hope many other lightning wallets such as Strike, Blink, Speed, Coinos implement Spark

Welcome to the new era of scalability of BTC!

Edit:

After using the WoS self custody option with Spark, I noticed that WoS shows all your history with your Spark Key to the public, meaning that you should create your wallet in another app that has the privacy option as default such as Cake Wallet and then import your wallet to WoS.

Not trying to start anything — just genuinely curious.

I’ve been looking a bit closer at my setup lately, and it got me thinking…

Everyone talks about:

• hash rate
• power cost

…but I don’t see as many people comparing actual pool payouts over time.

For example:

Two pools might say:

• 1% fee vs 2% fee

But does that really translate to better returns?

Things like:

• luck
• stale shares
• payout method (FPPS vs PPLNS)

seem like they could make a bigger difference than the fee itself.

I haven’t done a super deep analysis yet, but I feel like I’ve seen small differences depending on the pool.

Could just be variance though.

Curious what others here have experienced:

• Have you ever tested multiple pools side-by-side?
• Did you notice any real difference in payouts?
• Do you stick with one pool or rotate?

Not saying anything is “wrong” with any pool — just trying to understand if I’m overthinking this or if there’s actually something here.

LETS GOOOO I HAVE 0.1 BTC

I know it's not polite to talk numbers but this isn't polite society, this is the ghetto of all ghetto's and we got to keeps it reals.

The more I look at the market and overall macro pictures, the less interested I am in equity as opposed to bitcoin. I'm talking $700k into crypto related products which is a huge chunk of my swing portfolio. There's some beaten down stocks that have good entry points, but really, the risk reward of BTC while the govt keeps printing and there's talk of reducing the deficit but all budget proposals are wildly throwing money at the defense budget so we know it's not happening other than fraud (which is a good thing atleast).

The overall runup of SPY since COVID always has you thinking when it starts to dump, it can really go a long ways down.

In my 30s.

Please utilize this sticky thread for all general Bitcoin discussions! If you see posts on the front page or /r/Bitcoin/new which are better suited for this daily discussion thread, please help out by directing the OP to this thread instead. Thank you!

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Please check the previous discussion thread for unanswered questions.

Ok please explain bitcoin/crypto currency to me. This is my first time learning about it and I would like to invest my money in it. I don't know where to begin and how to start. If anyone can help guide me. Thank you!

Gm r/Bitcoin. ????

Starting an educational series — simple, direct, no jargon, no promises. Just verifiable facts.

Day 1: What is Bitcoin?

Bitcoin is digital money with a fixed supply of 21 million units — hardcoded by Satoshi Nakamoto in 2009. No government, bank, or company can ever change that.

Verified data — April 2026:

- Over 20 million BTC already mined (95%+ of total supply)

- Less than 1 million remain — and will take 100+ years to mine

- New block every ~10 minutes

- Current reward: 3.125 BTC per block (after April 2024 halving)

- Next halving: estimated April 2028

Why does this matter for someone who barely pays rent?

The money you keep in the bank loses value every year to inflation. Bitcoin has a fixed supply — nobody can "print more." For the first time in history, an ordinary person has access to a genuinely scarce asset.

Don't trust. Verify

Next week — Day 2: Why does money lose value?

#Bitcoin #Education #BitcoinFromZero

Invite your guidance

There’s a post near the top of this sub right now where someone sent Bitcoin to their Trezor and the wallet showed empty. They panicked. Turns out their Bitcoin wasn’t gone — it was in their passphrase wallet. They hadn’t known they created one.

That’s the most common failure pattern in hardware wallet support forums, and it almost never gets explained at setup. Here’s what’s actually happening and three other traps that catch people the same way.

The passphrase trap

When you set up a Trezor using Trezor Suite, the passphrase feature is on by default. A passphrase — sometimes called the 25th word — creates a completely separate wallet derived from your seed. Any input during setup creates one. An accidental keystroke creates one. If you set a passphrase and don’t write it down, that passphrase is gone forever — and so is everything in that wallet. Your seed phrase alone opens a different, empty wallet. No error message. Nothing to indicate anything is wrong. Trezor’s support forums have dozens of threads that all read identically: “I have my seed, I’ve tried everything, balance is zero.” In most cases the passphrase was set accidentally during initial setup.

Different software generates different addresses from the same seed

This sounds impossible but it’s documented repeatedly. There are multiple standards for how wallet software derives addresses from a seed phrase — BIP-44, BIP-49, BIP-84 are the common ones — and different apps default to different ones. One user bought Bitcoin through Exodus paired with a Trezor in 2021. Exodus defaulted to P2SH-SegWit (m/49’/0’/0’). Trezor Suite defaults to Native SegWit (m/84’/0’/0’). Four years later, a firmware update forced a reset. The user opened Trezor Suite instead of reconnecting through Exodus. Empty wallet. His Bitcoin was on-chain and accessible — completely invisible to the software he was now using. Valid seed. Right device. Zero balance. This is not a bug. It’s two correct implementations of different standards.

Electrum does not speak the same language as your hardware wallet

If you ever try to import your Trezor or Ledger seed into Electrum as a backup option, it will show an empty wallet. Electrum uses a proprietary seed format and deliberately does not support BIP-39 — the standard your hardware wallet uses. To get it working you have to click a hidden “Options” button during seed entry, select “BIP39 seed,” then manually enter the derivation path your original wallet used. Without those steps, Electrum opens a valid empty wallet with no explanation. The Electrum developers are aware of this and consider it a feature.

What to actually write down alongside your seed phrase

The seed is the starting point, not the whole picture. What you also need documented somewhere safe:

1. Which device and software you used to set up the wallet (Trezor Suite, Ledger Live, Electrum, etc.)
2. Whether a passphrase was set — and if yes, exactly what it was, case-sensitive
3. Which address format was used (Legacy, SegWit, Native SegWit, Taproot) — your software may show this during setup
4. The derivation path if you can find it — usually visible in advanced settings

That context, stored with your seed backup, is what makes the difference between recovery taking five minutes and recovery being impossible.

this is way to fix my problem

One thing that really worries me is this: what if something happens to me? I’m afraid my family might lose access to the money completely.

I’d really appreciate any tips or advice on how people securely store their seed phrases while also making sure their family could recover the funds if something happens.

Hello, peace be upon you.

How did I solve my problem in a safe way and make sure the control stays in my hands so I don't worry?

I have two wallets stored on two metal plates.

I made two new plates.

I wrote the first 12 words on the first plate and the other 12 words of the first wallet on the second plate. For the second wallet I did the opposite.

I explained this system to my wife and I will train her on it once every month. I also gave her a hard wallet because it is difficult to buy one in the third world.

After that I bought a steel safe it open with key and password only one i know it and explained to her that two plate is inside it, while the other plate is with my uncle. I told him to give it to my wife only in the event of my death and for no other reason.

I informed my uncle, my brother, and my uncle’s wife about the location of the second plate.

If my uncle ever tries to use the plate he has, it will open a decoy (fake) wallet.

What do you think of this solution?

I just know it. So I won't buy just so the rest of you can make some money.

Is anyone else having issues being blocked out for no apparent reason? I have used this service for several months now and it worked wonderful for buying bitcoin with a debit card. They are in a number of stores, Walgreens, CVS and others! No matter what I do I can’t get signed back on!

But only if you make a good serious plan for it.

If you're able to save 1 BTC for your descendants, then one method looks like this.

2056 [ 4.5 hours ].

1. Generation shares 0.11 BTC.

2. Generation shares 0.22 BTC.

2086 [ 576 hours ].

1. Generation shares 0.11 BTC.

2. Generation shares 0.22 BTC.

2116 [ 150,000 hours ].

1. Generation shares 0.11 BTC.

2. Generation shares 0.22 BTC.

This is the distribution order of one of the multi-sig interlocking methods.

[ hours ] indicate how long it will take all the worlds mining pools to create the same amount of BTC, that your grandchildren is gifted by your foresight, should the blockchain protocol continue uninterrupted.

It's a guideline to the enormous potential of owning BTC into the next decade.

Something very few of us will live to experience.. .

But our grandchildren and their children will.

Curious how it started for all of us.

I’ve been seeing a lot of people (including myself at one point) jump into mining thinking it’s some kind of guaranteed money printer.

So I made a quick gut-check list. If most of these hit… you’re probably gambling.

You’re probably gambling if:

• you bought a miner because a calculator said it was profitable today
• you have no idea what your actual monthly power cost is
• you’re assuming the coin price won’t drop (or will magically go up)
• you don’t really understand what J/TH means, you just picked a machine
• you chose the coin because it’s “hot” right now
• you’re expecting ROI in a few months no matter what
• you haven’t thought about difficulty increasing at all
• downtime/repairs haven’t even crossed your mind
• you think this is passive income with zero headaches
• you didn’t compare multiple machines, just pulled the trigger
• you’d be stressed if profits dipped for a couple months
• you’re checking profitability every day like it’s a stock ticker

be honest — how many of these did you check before you started?
and which one actually cost you money?

How Corporate Ledgers Will Swallow Your Money — And Why Bitcoin Is the Last Exit

They're not going to take your money. They're going to make you want to give it to them.

That's the part nobody talks about. Every conversation about CBDCs, digital dollars, programmable money — it always frames the threat as force. Government freezes your account. State shuts off your wallet. Authoritarian overreach.

That's not how it happens. Not here. Not in the West.

It happens through convenience.

The Bridge You Don't Come Back From

Here's the play. Fiat is already going digital. That's not a prediction — it's a process. Cash use is collapsing. Every central bank on the planet is either piloting a CBDC or pretending they're not. The endgame is a fully programmable state currency. Trackable. Freezable. Expirable if they want it to be.

But the CBDC (Stable coins) isn't the final destination. It's the adapter.

Once your money is programmable and KYC'd at the protocol level, it talks to everything. Every corporate ledger. Every ecosystem. Every loyalty program and rewards system that's been quietly building rails for the last decade.

This is where it gets interesting.

Amazon doesn't need to build a currency. They just need a ledger that accepts the CBDC — and gives you back something that only works inside Amazon. Call it Amazon Credits. Walmart does the same. YouTube does the same. Every platform with a massive consumer base builds their own internal economy, their own unit of account, their own closed loop.

And they'll make the bridge in incredibly attractive.

"Convert your dollars to Amazon Credits and get 12% bonus purchasing power." Same energy as credit card points. Same psychology as frequent flyer miles. You're not losing anything — you're upgrading. Right?

Wrong. You're walking through a one-way door.

The Sink Protocol

These ecosystems are sinks. Value flows in. It doesn't flow back out — at least not on your terms and not at the rate you put it in.

Think about it like a festival. The headliners are the brands you already use. The ones already in your house, your car, your daily routine. Amazon. Walmart. YouTube. Apple. Google. Netflix. The entire lifestyle stack. They're not strangers — they're the infrastructure of your life.

So when they say "bridge over and we'll give you a little extra" — it's a no-brainer. You're already in. You've been in. The bridge just makes it formal. You stop holding dollars and start holding ecosystem tokens that only work inside their walls.

And here's the thing nobody says out loud: that's company scrip. The exact same play coal companies ran in the 1800s. Pay workers in tokens that only spend at the company store. Except now the company store is the entire internet and the tokens have a blockchain under them so they feel legitimate.

The CBDC is the universal on-ramp. Every ecosystem speaks the same compliance language — KYC'd, tracked, taxable, programmable. The "interoperability" they'll sell you as a feature is the surveillance mesh. Every bridge between ecosystems is a checkpoint. Every transaction is a data point. Every conversion is consent.

Where Bitcoin Sits In All This

Bitcoin doesn't fit their system. That's not a flaw — that's the entire point.

It has no admin keys. No compliance API. No foundation that can push an update to make it play nice with Amazon's ledger. No upgrade mechanism that a government can lean on. It is, by design, the one digital asset that cannot be enclosed.

And that makes it dangerous — not to users, but to the enclosure model itself.

They'll want your Bitcoin. Badly. They'll offer you a premium to convert. "Bridge your BTC into our ecosystem and we'll give you 15% more purchasing power than the dollar rate." Maybe they'll even create Bitcoin-denominated ecosystem tokens — AmazonBTC, some stupid branded wrapper that looks like Bitcoin but lives on their ledger, under their rules.

The moment your BTC touches a corporate ledger, it stays there. You become a number on that ledger. Permanently. The whole point of these systems is that value enters and doesn't leave — or if it does, it leaves diminished, taxed, tracked, and KYC'd into oblivion.

The squeeze won't be a ban. It'll be a friction gradient.

They make the walled garden so easy and sovereign Bitcoin so inconvenient that most people walk in voluntarily. Your BTC works fine on-chain — but Amazon won't accept it directly. Your Lightning payment clears in seconds — but Walmart's checkout only takes WalCredits. You could stay outside the walls. But everything inside is easier, faster, shinier, and all your friends are already there.

Sound familiar? It should. That's the exact same playbook that moved the world from cash to cards. From ownership to subscription. From software you install to software that lives on someone else's server.

The Parallel Economy

So what does "staying sovereign" actually look like when the entire consumer economy has been enclosed?

It looks like infrastructure.

Cold storage and hot wallets that never touch a corporate ledger. Lightning nodes that route payments peer-to-peer without intermediaries. Mesh networks that relay signed transactions over Bluetooth when the internet isn't an option — or isn't safe. CoinJoins and ecash mints that break the chain between your identity and your UTXOs.

It looks like a parallel economy running alongside the corporate-state layer. Its own payment rails. Its own communication channels. Its own financial infrastructure. Not a protest. Not a movement. Just a system that works without asking permission.

And yeah — parts of it will get called a black market. That's inevitable. When the "legitimate" economy requires you to bridge into a surveilled ledger, anything outside that ledger gets framed as illegitimate. Using original BTC for goods instead of the ecosystem's blessed stablecoin will be a policy violation before it's a legal violation. The line between "noncompliant" and "criminal" gets thinner every year.

But here's what they can't change: the network works. The math works. The protocol works. Peer-to-peer value transfer with zero infrastructure dependency — that's not a feature of Bitcoin. That's the thesis of Bitcoin. And every year that thesis gets more relevant, not less.

The Choice

This isn't about being anti-technology. I use Amazon. I use YouTube. I live inside these ecosystems like everyone else. The difference is understanding what the bridge actually costs.

Every time you convert sovereign money into an ecosystem token, you're trading optionality for convenience. You're giving up the ability to leave. And in a world where your money is programmable and your spending is a data stream that feeds your social score, the ability to leave isn't a luxury — it's the only real form of financial freedom left.

Bitcoin is the last exit before the enclosure closes. Not because it's perfect. Not because it's easy. Because it's the only digital asset that can't be co-opted by design.

Keep your keys. Run your node. Build the parallel rails. Because once you walk through the bridge, you don't come back.

— LowQ

While the world continues to trust systems that fail time and time again, a new alternative has emerged silent, unstoppable, and incorruptible.

Bitcoin is not just technology.

It’s not just money.

It’s freedom.

For the first time in history, a generation has the opportunity to truly own its wealth without intermediaries, without permission, without manipulation.

We grew up watching crises unfold, inflation erode the value of our efforts, and rules change in the middle of the game.

But now… we have a choice.

Bitcoin is more than an asset, it’s a statement.

A rejection of centralized control.

A step toward individual sovereignty.

There may be volatility. There may be doubts.

But one thing is certain:

The world is changing and Bitcoin is leading that change.

Don’t trust, verify. ????

so im waiting for my re newaldriving license so I have id to set up and buy btc, but in the meantime, I need a way to buy small amounts. Has anyone ever used changehero or gardarian? if so, did it go smoothly?

Ask (and answer!) away! Here are the general rules:

• If you'd like to learn something, ask.
• If you'd like to share knowledge, answer.
• Any question about Bitcoin is fair game.

And don't forget to check out /r/BitcoinBeginners

You can sort by new to see the latest questions that may not be answered yet.

Please utilize this sticky thread for all general Bitcoin discussions! If you see posts on the front page or /r/Bitcoin/new which are better suited for this daily discussion thread, please help out by directing the OP to this thread instead. Thank you!

If you don't get an answer to your question, you can try phrasing it differently or commenting again tomorrow.

Please check the previous discussion thread for unanswered questions.

I am sat on some savings which I do not use and they gain minimal interest, I have been toying with the idea of investing for a while and I am wondering if It is too late to invest in btc or would now be an ideal time given the current dip?
I was thinking about putting a chunk in now and then x amount every month indefinitely and somewhat forgetting about it, and hoping that in 30 years I will have accumulated a bit of profit from it to aid towards retirement.
Would this be a wise idea, thinking long term?

Who do you think he is?

Hi so i store all my crypto in trustwallet, but people recomending me so many different places you can store your crypto.

i wanna know Whats actually the number one, non KYC please to store crypto?

like i put in a part of my pay check every time but I'll be using some of the money for a trip later this year. should i seperate the trip savings or put it all in btc.

it might be weird to see something like this vague.
anyways, I want to learn about the bitcoin and its system. how it work? why its such a big deal, especially in some bad stuffs? why it's the preferable choice over usd or any other currency?

i'm just starting to learn about all these. so if anyone can just help me understand it briefly, something kind of starter before diving deep into this world.

i sold my house, and i dont think shares is best to put money in due to the iran war. so i bought 5 btc, hopefully we get to see 120k peak soon :)

BTC adoption snapshot using 4 Glassnode BTC metrics only.

Current reading:

- Adoption Index: 1.011

- Active Entities: 163,944

- Non-Zero Addresses: 56,154,672

- Lightning Network Capacity: 4,971.03 BTC

- L1 Change-Adjusted Volume: 92,074.70 BTC

Method:

- exact Glassnode BTC metric pages only

- no mixed-source composite

- baselines fixed at 2025-01-01

- index = geometric mean of 4 current/baseline ratios

Baselines:

- Active Entities: 145,000

- Non-Zero Addresses: 52,000,000

- Lightning Network Capacity: 5,358 BTC

- L1 Change-Adjusted Volume: 100,000 BTC

Ratios:

- Active Entities: 1.131

- Non-Zero Addresses: 1.080

- Lightning Capacity: 0.928

- L1 Change-Adjusted Volume: 0.921

Interpretation:

- overall adoption snapshot is slightly above the 2025-01-01 baseline

- breadth metrics are above baseline

- Lightning capacity is below baseline

- on-chain adjusted transfer volume is below baseline

- the positive breadth signal slightly outweighs the weaker LN and L1 flow readings

Data dates used:

- AE: 2026-04-04

- NZ: 2026-04-04

- LN: 2026-04-04

- L1: 2026-04-04

Source metrics:

- Glassnode entities.ActiveCount

- Glassnode addresses.NonZeroCount

- Glassnode lightning.NetworkCapacitySum

- Glassnode transactions.TransfersVolumeAdjustedSum

Please utilize this sticky thread for all general Bitcoin discussions! If you see posts on the front page or /r/Bitcoin/new which are better suited for this daily discussion thread, please help out by directing the OP to this thread instead. Thank you!

If you don't get an answer to your question, you can try phrasing it differently or commenting again tomorrow.

Please check the previous discussion thread for unanswered questions.

To add to the title -

At some point in 2009-2012, I used to leave my computer on overnight and while I was at school, mining bitcoin. I can't remember how long for, it could've been for a couple of weeks or potentially months. I only remember it was within this time period because it overlapped with me playing Runescape (lol), and I quit playing in 2012 for 10 years or more.

I have sort of moved away from computers although in those days I was interested in gaming and beginner hacking. I was 15-17 and the hacking part is daft looking back at it. But what I'm really trying to say is I used to be fairly computer literate and now, not so much. I've been using macs for 12 years now.

So no matter whether it was a week or several months I left it mining overnight etc. for, there is likely a decent amount of bitcoin on the harddrive.

I don't have access to the email address I used in those years, I lost it about 5 years ago and seemingly can't recover it. ChatGPT tells me this likely isn't an issue as emails weren't used for sign up in the early days.

More advice was to remove the hard drive and back it up on a second hard drive, before opening. Do I have a stab at this myself? How do I do this? Can I plug hard drive into my mac to transfer to a second hard drive?

What if the hard drive was wiped? Would it be in any way possible to recover it?

If I manage to locate the wallet, will I need to remember the password? I believe it was a long set of random numbers and letters so will never remember unless I also have it saved on the computer somewhere.

What are my next steps?

Thank you in advance.

I want a way which is easier for them to check price and buy more. They aren't tech savvy.

confused between CEX and ETF

So I tried this out and its actually really helpful, basically they look at wallets that have succesful trade records and then they filter out bots and swarms/bundlers and give you insights on the left over wallets.

Its a good way to navigate the trenches cause the bot detection alone really helps you know which tokens to stay away from, and the cool thing about the site is they dont claim to make you rich or to have 10000000x moonshots or anything its just good information about tokens.

Cool dev team on X as well they talk about trying to create a tool for average degens against the PumpFun scam wave.

Has anyone else tried using it? smartmoneytracker.io

I’m a 17 year old developer who’s been in the cryptocurrency field for a while now.

I wanted to ask you guys about different ways of purchasing crypto under 18.

All exchanges just as Coinbase, Kraken, etc. require you to be 18 and provide proof of identity to confirm this.

I have my own bank account under my name with access to Zelle. What I’ve been doing so far is using P2P sites like LocalCoinSwap and paying with Zelle to buy crypto off other people.

This method is extremely inefficient as many sellers on LocalCoinSwap ask for ID too and I really don’t want to send any documents to a complete stranger. The sellers that don’t ask for ID, add an insane premium like 15% or 20% on their prices.

Buying crypto just to instantly lose 20% of my money is not worth it in any way.

Do you guys have any other methods of buying crypto being under 18 where I won’t have to pay insane premiums?

Been building HashVault for anyone who wants to accumulate Bitcoin without the complexity.

No mining rigs. No market timing. No crypto expertise required.

You set it up once and it stacks sats every single day. Guaranteed daily earnings — not speculation, not trading.

Plans start at $9.99/mo.

Here's the site if you're curious:

https://hashvault-zrs6.polsia.app

Happy to answer any questions on how it works.

I'm thinking even if BTC drops to $52k this year, VTSAX would likely also be tanking, so I'd be exchanging near a low anyways. Wondering if I should just do it now? Thinking 30% into FBTC. I really liked the post yesterday talking about the floor of BTC and how your portfolio can be a much greater multiple in BTC instead.

In my opinion Bitcoin offers various benefits depending on how you use it. For example, the most basic level is holding Bitcoin through an ETF. You can't leave the country with your Bitcoin in just 12 memorized words, it's the most basic way to hold Bitcoin, only using it for the NGU.

It's slightly better if you hold Bitcoin on an exchange, at least you could send the BTC to someone else as money.

The next level is to hold it in self-custody with KYC. At least you no longer have the risk of the exchange going bankrupt or your accounts being blocked, but you're a slave to the government that knows about your BTC.

And the ultimate, best way is to hold it in self-custody without KYC. This is where all the benefits of BTC are unlocked, the most powerful way to fight the system.

If you're at the initial levels, I advise you to gradually work your way up to the higher level Bitcoin holding way.

Hi, Whats your perspective on this?

Hi,

I don't have a bank account and there isn't any ATMs around me I can use to buy cryptocurrencies. I bought a vanilla card online to buy crypto. How can I do so? Thank you.

Hey all, I will try to keep responding to replies on the original post, I got blocked from my own post because I was responding too quickly.

Here is the update, and we are wondering which way to go with this as we have the laptop working and the owner says she does remember that the wallet lived on the TOR browser. There are apparently two wallets that were available on TOR at that time: Electrum and Coinwallet. She believes it is Coinwallet.

That being said, we don't know much about TOR, but it makes sense to try and access TOR and hopefully Coinwallet on the original laptop, but we can't seem to connect, as it gets to 5% bootstrapping "connecting to directory server" in the log, and "connecting to a relay directory" under the Status bar.

Hoping someone could give us some guidance on how to proceed. We loaded TOR on her current laptop, and wasn't sure where to go from there. We also downloaded Coinwallet to her current laptop, running into the passphrase requirement. I believe there should be 12.

This brings us to the second avenue of approach, as we found a text file with 30,000 words, groups of numbers and number/letter combinations. About 270 of them are common with the 2048 word list. This list was apparently created by the person that set up the wallet/TOR for her and this person was a cybersecurity expert for the DoD. Might this be able to be parsed/decoded with a program? We entered the first 12 words that appeared on both lists in the order of appearance into the Coinwallet passphrase box on her current laptop with no success.

She is going to keep looking around on both drives (it was switched out between the dates of the first and last transactions on the Coinbase exchange log) to see if anything else jogs her memory.

Thanks in advance for any help/advice!

Please utilize this sticky thread for all general Bitcoin discussions! If you see posts on the front page or /r/Bitcoin/new which are better suited for this daily discussion thread, please help out by directing the OP to this thread instead. Thank you!

If you don't get an answer to your question, you can try phrasing it differently or commenting again tomorrow.

Please check the previous discussion thread for unanswered questions.

Hi my father had an Android S20 FE and we cannot figure out his password to get in. We know he had bitcoin from early 2015, any ideas on how to get into it, brute force?

Note: not answering DMs or clicking links

I found an old json file while going through my old computer. Im wondering what steps can I take to repopulate this wallet

Hi im from Denmark on a Whv 417, and im wondering if i need to change my Binance, Coinbase and Trustwallet to Australian?

is there any benefit? From what i can read with chatgpt Denmark is less stricter for lets say a 10k usd withdrawal, where as Australia has a self reporting, so that when someone gets to that level it gets flagged?

Sorry that might be incorrect - came from chatgpt. but is there any reason to switch? as far as i am concerned i dont need to switch as i will still only be taxed after Australian taxes even though my account location is Danish?

so yeha any benefits or something im missing?

At what point do I start running my own node?

Hello everyone,

As part of my promise to the community, I intend to be as transparent as possible regarding our developments or lack thereof without compromising sources or methods. This update is the definition of good and bad. I have split this into good news and bad news, followed by my final thoughts at the end.

Good news: I have some very positive news to report. We have continued to network with key stakeholders across the American sports industry, and we are being received incredibly well. We are engaging with executives who have no clue what Bitcoin is, yet they are still interested in working with us.

More importantly, we are finally providing the warning that the sporting world needs: a Bitcoin-only philosophy is the only way to safely market this space. Every other digital asset is a direct threat to existing sponsorship categories. Sports organizations have spent decades building relationships with banks and insurance companies. You cannot, in good faith, advertise crypto scams next to a legacy bank billboard without violating those long-standing arrangements.

Bitcoin is the only asset that can create its own brand-new category. Within the first few minutes of our introductions, we explain the risks of associating with anything outside of Bitcoin. We make it clear that by courting "crypto," they alienate the Bitcoin-only community, which is the most valuable and loyal demographic in this entire space. This education is working. We are actively forcing these conversations across the sports world, and it’s paving the way for an entirely Bitcoin-only future sooner than you think.

Bad news: To be brief, the industry is really struggling at the moment. While there is a ton of interest in sports, the current bear market has made it difficult for companies to commit to long-term deals. I think we are underestimating the level of financial strain hitting even the most well-known Bitcoin companies right now. You can feel it firsthand; things are tight, uncertainty is high, and risk appetite is low. We likely have more turbulence ahead, and I expect this year to be a tough one.

All in all, this is the best time ever to start a new Bitcoin business. Sure, we are struggling to get companies to commit to sports right now, but Rome wasn’t built in a day. The important thing is building these relationships and setting the foundation so the industry is ready to engage when the sector is back to being cash-flush.

I’ve had to admit to myself that I’ve failed so far in securing an activation before the summer. Timing just didn't work out, and in that, I'll do better for you all. Building now, while we are down from the all-time highs, is the right thing to do. Mainstream adoption doesn't come from Wall Street; it comes from Main Street, and Main Street loves sports. I am fully committed to this, and I’m putting my head down to get back to work for this fall. Bitcoin is going to take over sports, and we are going to be the ones to make it happen.

i want sell btcbr coin india 24 digit f262

Hey guys,

I don’t know why but I just remembered that I bought BTC in late 2014. I was out drinking with friends and we talked about something clompletely different, it just hit me. Now the problem, which probably isn’t that rare:

I created the wallet on blockchain.info and I know that I saved the keyphrase on an old phone which’s screen is probably smashed but still at home. But I have no idea what my wallet ID is.

The only thing I have left is login links (blockchain.info/wallet/long array of numbers and letters) to blockchain.info, which i used to create the wallet and buy BTC. But the website is down/leads to blockchain.com and the login link does nothing here, nor does my email seem to be registered anymore, since I don’t get a reset password mail.

I’m not into crypto at all but is there any chance that the coins are still there and I can find out my wallet ID somehow? I don’t know how many BTC would be in there, it’s probably not even a whole coin. But before I look through all my old devices I would like to know if it’s worth it.

Thanks in advance!

Some of you might remember my post from about a month ago where I shared a children's book I made that contains all 2,048 BIP39 words — the idea being that you can use the Book Cipher method to encode your seed phrase as page-line-word references and store those numbers separately from the book. The post blew up way more than I expected (400+ upvotes), and I got a ton of valuable feedback.

The most upvoted criticism: "This is just security through obscurity." Almost 400 upvotes on that comment alone. Other common concerns: "Now everyone knows the book", "A children's book is weird if you don't have kids", and "Amazon knows who bought it."

I took all of that seriously. Here's what I did about it.

What changed

1. A second book — for adults this time.

Several people pointed out that a children's book is a hard sell if you don't have kids sitting on your shelf. Fair point. So I created "777 Wisdoms for Every Day" — a collection of 777 numbered wisdoms that also contains all 2,048 BIP39 words. It looks like any other inspirational book. On your nightstand, in your luggage, on your office shelf — nobody thinks twice about a wisdom book.

2. A new encoding option that didn't exist before.

Because every wisdom in the book is numbered (#1 through #777), you now have an alternative to classic page-line-word encoding. You can use wisdom-number + word-position instead. Or mix and match. Or invent your own scheme. The point is: even if someone knows the concept AND knows the book, they still don't know how you encoded your references. That directly addresses the "security through obscurity" criticism — there are now too many variables for a simple lookup.

3. The "everyone knows the book" problem got smaller, not bigger.

Counter-intuitively, having multiple books actually helps. There are now two completely different books designed for this (a children's story and a wisdom book), with multiple encoding methods each. An attacker would need to know: which book you used, which encoding scheme, and have physical access to your number sequence. That's a lot of unknowns.

What hasn't changed

• It's still an additional layer, not a replacement. Your metal plate / paper backup stays in place. The book cipher is a complementary copy with built-in obfuscation.
• Two-factor by design. Book alone = useless. Numbers alone = useless. You need both, stored in different locations.
• The travel use case. A wisdom book in your luggage raises zero suspicion at borders. The codes look like phone numbers or whatever you disguise them as. Try that with a Cryptosteel in your carry-on.
• Metal plate combo. Instead of engraving 24 seed words on metal (screams crypto), engrave the book cipher codes: 47-3-5, 112-7-2, 83-1-11, ... — same durability, but now it's meaningless numbers.

Honest take

Some of the criticism from last time was absolutely valid. Security through obscurity IS a weakness — when it's your only layer. But as one layer among several (different storage locations, passphrase, metal backup, flexible encoding), I think book cipher adds real value. The second book doesn't fix every concern, but it addresses the biggest ones: more book options, more encoding flexibility, and a version that doesn't look out of place for adults without kids.

Happy to answer any questions — and genuinely curious if anyone from the last post actually ended up trying the book cipher approach.

I live in Offenburg Germany at the french boarder. I want to buy Crypto wihout KYC in Person with Cash in France or Germany but around my City. Any Ideas?

I’m trying to find a crypto escrow payment service that people actually trust, and honestly this has been way more annoying than it should be.

I’m looking for something pretty simple in theory: an escrow service where both parties can use it for a transaction, the funds get held securely, and then once the conditions are met, the payment gets released. Basic escrow logic. But somehow, when you actually start searching for this in crypto, everything starts looking sketchy as hell within like 10 minutes.

Every time I find a platform, it’s either one of these random websites that looks like it was built in 2017 and never updated, or it has almost no real user reviews, or the reviews look fake, botted, or suspiciously generic. Some of them claim they’re “trusted by thousands” or “used for high-value deals,” but then you go looking for actual proof, community feedback, Reddit threads, or any kind of real reputation, and there’s basically nothing solid. That’s the part that’s making this hard. If I’m moving real money, I’m not trying to be someone’s test transaction on some half-dead escrow platform with zero accountability.

What I’m specifically looking for is an escrow payment service that has actual trust behind it — meaning a decent reputation, real reviews, ideally some known usage history, and not something that feels like it could disappear overnight. If anyone here has actually used one for larger transactions, milestone-based payments, OTC deals, service payments, or anything similar, that would be really useful to know. I care way more about real-world reliability than fancy marketing copy.

Fast execution also matters a lot. I don’t want some system where everything takes forever, support is slow, or releases get stuck in weird manual review limbo for no reason. If it’s supposed to be crypto, it should at least feel smoother than traditional escrow, not somehow worse.

Also, a big plus would be support for multiple chains or currencies. That part matters because a lot of these services seem to support only one network or one token ecosystem, which makes them less useful. Ideally I’d want something flexible — whether that means major chains, stablecoins, multiple wallets, or broad asset support. Doesn’t need to support every random chain on earth, but at least something practical.

Right now, most of the options I’ve seen just don’t feel trustworthy enough to actually use for serious transactions. Maybe I’m missing the obvious answer, or maybe crypto escrow is still somehow this underdeveloped despite how long the space has been around.

So yeah — if anyone here knows a real escrow platform that is:

•trusted, •has legit reviews / community reputation, •executes quickly, •and supports multiple networks or currencies, 

please drop it.

Because at this point, finding a non-sketchy crypto escrow service feels harder than finding a trustworthy guy in Telegram named “brother” with 17 vouches and an anime profile pic.

Still hoping someone here has a genuinely solid recommendation.

Ps. This is AI written because of some idiocy of having to write 500 words for the platform.

What do you think?

A group of Bitcoin developers will do a demo of some slow blocks on the Signet test network on Wednesday. Anyone running a Signet node can participate. Come and see for yourself how long it took for your own hardware to hear about the slow block and validate them!

If you don't run a Signet node already, syncing one should be pretty straightforward. It should use about 30GiB of storage, and you can run `-prune` if even that is too much.

More details about this demo are available on the Delving Bitcoin thread.

If you have questions about this, feel free to shoot in the comments. I'm the one crafting the blocks, and i'll be monitoring this thread till Wednesday to help people participate in the demo.

I have been procrastinating with getting a cold hardware wallet because unfortunately that is what I do. But today I decided to take some initiative and get one and decided on Jade classic and SafePal Cypher for a tight budget from The Crypto Merchant? What are you alls thoughts or concerns?

Hi so i made a recent post talking about how i dont want to get fucked by the ATO. ive never reported (crypto gains/converts) to the government and especially not familiar how it is with the ATO since im from Denmark.

i asked Chatgpt "where can i track my crypto and then report and send everything in one go?". it said a service like Koinly or Cointraciking.

Right now im receiving on coinbase. but i do plan on switching to Receiving on "COCA" only as it gives nice cashback bonus of 6%. Quick side note: is there a better place to store crypto, bonus wise etc?

but Yeah im confused. i could technically just look at the crypto i sold, but how will i be able to know how much it rose with from the date of purchase? man i cant see how that gonna be possible

Please utilize this sticky thread for all general Bitcoin discussions! If you see posts on the front page or /r/Bitcoin/new which are better suited for this daily discussion thread, please help out by directing the OP to this thread instead. Thank you!

If you don't get an answer to your question, you can try phrasing it differently or commenting again tomorrow.

Please check the previous discussion thread for unanswered questions.

The "Unbreakable" Bear Case: April 2026

• The "Energy Toll Booth" Theory:
  • Strait of Hormuz: With the closure potentially lasting until mid-April, oil is stuck near $100–$106/barrel.
  • Disposable Income Drain: $5 gas isn't just an inconvenience—it's a direct "tax" on the retail liquidity that Bitcoin needs to pump. If people are choosing between a tank of gas and 0.001 BTC, they choose the gas every time.
• The Weekend Liquidity Gap:
  • Institutional ETF trading (BlackRock, Fidelity) stops on Friday. This leaves the price in the hands of "exhausted" retail traders on Saturdays and Sundays.
  • Historical 2026 data shows an average 3.17% drop over weekends, making short positions statistically more likely to print
• The 12–18 Month "Post-Peak" Trap:
  • Bitcoin peaked at $126,000 in October 2025.
  • Historically, the "most painful" part of the bear cycle occurs 12–18 months after the peak. This puts the ultimate "capitulation bottom" squarely in late 2026.
  • Your $45,000 target aligns perfectly with the 0.85 MVRV ratio—a metric that has called every major cycle bottom in Bitcoin's history.
• Institutional "Exit Liquidity":
  • While the "moon boys" talk about the ETF floor, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs actually saw over $6 billion in net redemptions between November and February.
  • Institutions aren't "HODLers"—they are profit-takers. If they see a recession confirmed, they will sell to protect their balance sheets, and they will sell faster than any retail trader can.

1. April 15 is a Sell Event: People have to pay taxes on their 2025 gains. They aren't buying more; they're selling to avoid the IRS.
2. The "Halving" is Priced In: The 2024 halving is long gone. The supply shock already happened, and the market has already moved on to worrying about global stagflation.
3. ETF Inflows have Stalled: The "wall of money" has turned into a "tri

Watching the price drop from $126K in October to the low $60s in February was both educational and frustrating. So I turned that energy into a research sprint: I built the Bitcoin Power Law Observatory, published 13 research papers, and created a suite of retirement planning tools.

The result? I think I found Bitcoin's version of the 4% rule. And the math is almost absurd.

The logic chain

People need to save for the future. The best savings technology is the hardest money. Bitcoin is the hardest money ever created. Therefore people will save in bitcoin. Not everyone knows this yet. Old habits die hard.

The power law (Santostasi, expanded by Krueger and Sigman in "Bitcoin One Million") is the best model for how this adoption unfolds. The core relationship: every time bitcoin ages 1.5x, the price goes roughly 10x. Not hype cycles. Compounding network adoption following the same laws we see in city growth, earthquake magnitude, and species evolution.

The floor is the breakthrough

The power law model shows a trend line with a corridor of possibilities around it. The ceiling is compressing: early cycles hit 10x trend, recent ones barely 2x. But the floor has never been breached. Since 2010, the lower boundary at about 0.43x the trend value has held through every crash, every panic, every obituary.

It held when bitcoin crashed from 10x the trend. From 5x. From 3x. With upside volatility structurally compressing, the floor only gets stronger coming down from 2x or less.

What does this floor look like in dollar terms?

March 2026: $56,400.

March 2027: $77,700.

March 2028: $105,300.

March 2029: $140,500.

March 2030: $184,800.

The floor value of 1 bitcoin will grow more than $21,000 over the next 12 months. And that dollar growth accelerates every year.

That floor growth is your yield. Not interest. Not dividends. Structural adoption growth baked into the math. And it changes everything about retirement planning.

The Bitcoin 4% rule

The traditional 4% rule says you can withdraw 4% from an S&P portfolio annually without running out. The 4% buffer exists to handle sequence of returns risk: bad early years can permanently damage a retirement.

Bitcoin needs a different system. Higher returns but far more volatility. A decelerating growth rate that demands dynamic withdrawals, not fixed percentages. So I based my framework on floor growth alone:

If your stack x floor growth > your yearly expenses = financial freedom.

This is the most conservative number the model produces. Bitcoin spends only a tiny fraction of its time near the floor. Everything above it is pure upside cushion.

The math

The floor currently grows at roughly 39% per year (this rate slowly decelerates over decades). At today's price of about $67,000, 5 BTC costs $335,000.

Annual floor growth on 5 BTC: approximately $110,000.

Under the traditional 4% rule, $100,000/year requires a $2,500,000 S&P portfolio.

Same spending power. $335,000 versus $2,500,000. Over 7x more capital efficient. Using the worst case path the power law produces.

Three tailwinds

Once you cross the floor freedom line, three forces compound in your favor. Volatility decays: the price corridor compresses roughly 20% each halving cycle, so the "storm years" at the start of retirement expire. The floor keeps rising: your safety net grows every day. And your BTC-denominated expenses shrink: you need fewer sats each year to cover the same dollar amount. The risk is front-loaded and finite.

I built a Monte Carlo simulator with 100,000 simulations based on 15 years of historical volatility data. The result: the floor-based approach survives the storm years and the margin of safety widens every year you hold. With 20 BTC, survival is 100% across all simulations at $3,000/month withdrawals. Even at 10 BTC, it is 72%. The three tailwinds working together make this more robust than the traditional 4% rule, which has a roughly 95% historical success rate over 30 years.

The honest caveats

The power law could break. 15 years is not 150 years. The floor growth rate decelerates over time. Black swan events outside model bounds are possible. This framework only works if the power law holds. Nothing is ever 100%.

But consider this: bitcoin is currently trading at 1.19x the floor. Just 19% above the worst case. Historically that is an extremely cheap entry. Most of the time bitcoin sits at 2-3x the floor. The premium you pay today is recovered through less than one year of floor growth.

Bottom line

If you can buy 5 BTC today, you are building the functional equivalent of a $2.5 million traditional retirement portfolio. At a fraction of the cost. Backed not by a fixed percentage rule, but by the structural growth of the most robust boundary in the most predictive model in finance.

And right now, bitcoin is trading at just 19% above that floor. The setup is almost too clean.

The tools to verify all of this yourself are free. btcpowerlaw.nl for the research. satsplanner.app for the retirement calculator.

What would you do with a $2.5 million portfolio?

Would you send the btc to a new address generated on trezor 7, or just set up the new trezor using seed words from original trezor? Any difference in security down the road that way?

I think my btc is currently separated on my original trezor as segwit and legacy or something like that.

Been putting $180 into bitcoin through coinbase every week on fridays for a while now.

As someone who's still learning about all this crypto stuff but wants to get involved somehow, does this approach make sense?

I know I'm not smart enough to figure out when to buy the dips or whatever, so I just stick to the same amount each week instead of trying to time anything.

Anyone else doing something similar? Just wondering if I'm on the right track here.

I'm just curious ????

Bitcoin, energy, and geopolitics — is “value” changing?

With rising global tensions, energy prices surging, and markets acting unpredictably, it feels like something is shifting.

Traditionally, value was tied to economic output.

Now, it seems increasingly linked to:

- energy

- geopolitical stability

- control over resources

In that context, Bitcoin looks different — not exactly a safe haven, but a neutral, energy-linked system outside state control.

There’s an interesting breakdown connecting energy, war, and Bitcoin’s role in all this:

https://www.cointribune.com/en/bitcoin-energy-and-geopolitics-how-do-wars-redefine-global-value/

What do you think?

Is Bitcoin becoming a geopolitical asset ?

or still just a risk asset reacting to macro?

How does the government know if i own bitcoin if i store it cold? I could have lost my keys? Or gambled it away on memecoins. I know they can see the purchases on centralised exhanges but what i am doing or losing next are they going to find out?

Hello, can you recommend a platform for me to buy bitcoins?

Thank you.

Just learned that AA will no longer be creating content on patreon. I read it’s bc of his migraines and inability to control them. Really hope he’s ok and this does not signify him admitting defeat for btc. Anyone have any other news on it? Poor guy. Sending him best wishes. He’s the only reason I got into this space. When everyone else made it about the money, he made it about the fundamentals of BTC and why it stood a chance in this environment.

• GitHub: https://github.com/Drincann/bitcold
• Website: https://bitcold.dev
• npm: https://www.npmjs.com/package/bitcold
• License: WTFPL

Try it without installing: visit bitcold.dev and click the terminal — it connects you to a sandboxed Linux shell with bitcold pre-installed.

As a developer who holds Bitcoin, I spent a lot of time looking for a lightweight, auditable tool for cold storage that I could run on an air-gapped machine. GUI wallets felt opaque, hardware wallets require trusting vendor firmware, and other CLI tools were either abandoned or didn't follow modern BIP standards. So I built my own.

bitcold is an open-source CLI for generating BIP39 mnemonics, deriving BIP84 native SegWit addresses, and signing transactions — all completely offline. No network requests, no external APIs, no telemetry. Just your keys on your air-gapped machine.

Features:

• BIP39 mnemonic generation (12–24 words), or supply your own entropy (e.g. from dice rolls)
• BIP84 native SegWit (bc1...) address derivation
• HD wallet with multi-account support
• Offline transaction signing with QR code output (rendered in terminal, no GUI needed)
• AES-256-GCM encrypted storage with scrypt KDF
• Mainnet / Testnet / Regtest address support

Quick start:

npm install -g bitcold bitcold wallet create my-wallet bitcold wallet receive my-wallet@account_0 

The project is early stage so APIs may still change. Feedback, code audits, and contributions are all welcome.

For me, the big shift was when I stopped looking at Bitcoin like a quick move and started looking at it like long term savings.

At first I was checking price way too much, every dip felt bad and every pump made me think I was smart lol. But after some time, learning more, moving my stack off exchange, and just sitting with it, the whole thing started to feel different.

Now I care less about the next week, and more about where this goes in the next 5 to 10 years. Not saying I never feel nervous, because I do sometimes, but my mindset is way more calm than before.

Curious how it happened for others here.

What was the moment where Bitcoin “clicked” for you?
Was it inflation? Banks? Self custody? A bad experience with selling too early?
Or are you still in the phase where it mostly feels like a trade?

What's up r/Bitcoin

So I spent some time building this free calculator that helps Bitcoin holders figure out the whole "hold and borrow" approach instead of selling

Basically trying to answer the question we all think about - how much Bitcoin do I actually need to never have to work again

**The Strategy Breakdown:**

If you don't know about this approach - you keep your Bitcoin, take loans against it when you need cash, and never actually sell. When you die, your kids get the Bitcoin at current market value so no taxes on the gains

Main issues people run into:

- Not knowing safe borrowing limits

- Missing the liquidation price points

- Can't tell if loan costs are worth it vs just selling

- No idea how the debt builds up in 15-20 years

**What my calculator shows:**

You can test different scenarios across 15-20 year periods:

- Input your Bitcoin stack and current loan rates (grabs live rates automatically)

- Set yearly withdrawal amounts for expenses (includes inflation)

- Shows exactly if/when you'd get liquidated

- Figures out break-even rates

- Compare conservative vs risky borrowing approaches

- Includes Bitcoin growth assumptions

**Why I made this thing:**

Couldn't find any decent tools that actually showed the complete picture. Everything out there either makes it too simple or misses important stuff like:

- How interest compounds in decades

- When platforms actually liquidate you (usually around 85-87% LTV)

- How yearly withdrawals increase your risk

- Real borrowing costs vs Bitcoin appreciation rates

Would appreciate any feedback from you guys to make this better

Bitcoin teaches me alot about what if, and that's crazy

​

With everything going on in the region lately, I’ve been thinking more about the Gulf of Aden and how critical it is for global shipping routes. Do you guys think there’s a real possibility that it could be closed or heavily restricted, especially with rising geopolitical tensions around Yemen? If something like that were to happen, what kind of impact would you expect on global trade, oil prices, and even crypto markets?

I’m particularly curious about second-order effects likke supply chain disruptions, inflation spikes, or shifts in investor sentiment. Would thi push more people toward decentralized assets like Bitcoin as a hedge, or cause a broader risk-off scenario where everything drops?

Interested to hear your thoughts and any historical comparisons that might help put this into perspective.

Has anybody here ever liquidated (sold) a large amount of bitcoin, let‘s say 50k US$ or more? How did that go?

If not, how do you expect this would work if someone wanted to buy an apartment or house, e. g. sell bitcoin for several hundred thousand dollars? Could you easily do it in one transaction, for example in Kraken?

Taiwanese lawmaker Ko Ju-Chun said last year that the country’s Ministry of Justice holds 210 Bitcoins, worth $14 million, confiscated during criminal investigations.

Taiwan should reconsider adopting Bitcoin as a reserve asset to hedge against global turmoil and the risk of war, according to a research fellow at the Bitcoin Policy Institute.

In a report on Tuesday, Jacob Langenkamp said that should China pursue reunification with Taiwan by military force, either through a blockade or full invasion, Bitcoin would be the only reserve asset that would remain fully accessible and spendable.

“Uniquely for Taiwan, Bitcoin provides geopolitical resilience: in a PRC blockade or invasion, gold is stranded or seized and USD reserves face potential restrictions, but Bitcoin remains fully accessible without physical transport,” he added.

Nation-states have begun to explore the idea of launching strategic Bitcoin reserves, seen as a bullish signal for Bitcoin.

Last year, Taiwan’s central bank sought to investigate establishing a national Bitcoin reserve. However, the bank ruled it out in December, citing volatility, liquidity and custody concerns and instead identified the US dollar as a safer alternative.

Taiwan is heavily exposed to the risks of US dollar debasement, Langenkamp said, because its central bank reserves are at least 80% in USD-denominated assets, as is most of its trade.

Growing US debt, Federal Reserve monetary expansion, a potential AI market downturn and declining semiconductor revenues could also accelerate dollar debasement, he said.

“Bitcoin can couple with gold to offer that hedge against USD debasement. It can provide another opportunity for the CBC to adopt a reserve asset before its peers and benefit the people of Taiwan with the subsequent price appreciation,” Langenkamp added.

“It can offer geopolitical insurance against scenarios that hopefully do not come to pass. It can open new methods of trade with less friction. Bitcoin can provide Taiwan with a great measure of monetary resilience.”

Langenkamp also argued that the CBC's concerns about Bitcoin's liquidity and volatility are valid, but contended that both issues will diminish as the asset matures and gains adoption among nations.

“The CBC's concerns are valid but addressable with institutional expertise on custody, liquidity, and volatility,” he added.

Despite ruling out a Bitcoin reserve for now, the CBC committed to testing the technology further in a digital asset sandbox using the crypto the country already holds.

Taiwanese lawmaker Ko Ju-Chun revealed on X last year that the country’s Ministry of Justice holds 210 Bitcoin, worth $14 million, confiscated during criminal investigations.

BitBo doesn’t list Taiwan in its country reserve rankings; its disclosed holdings would make it the seventh-largest national Bitcoin holder, behind El Salvador but ahead of Finland.

The lightning network is a second-layer solution on top of the Bitcoin blockchain that enables quick, cheap and scalable Bitcoin payments.

Here is the place to discuss and learn more about lightning!

Ask your questions about lightning

Provide reviews, feedback, comparisons of LN apps, services, websites etc

Learn about new LN features, development, apps

Link to good quality resources (articles, wikis etc)

Resources:

• Here is an awesome list of resources compiled by Jameson Lopp: https://bitcoinfo.org/lightning.html

• Want to test out your lightning fire power? tip the Bitcoin devs! https://bitcoindevlist.com/

• Previous threads: Search

• Lnbook getting closer towards being finished and can already be seen at: https://github.com/lnbook/lnbook

• Lightning Dedicated YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/renepickhardt

• Also there is the playlist by chaincode labs: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLpLH33TRghT17_U3as2P3vHfAGL8pSOOY

• Lightning stores: https://www.lightningnetworkstores.com/

• Learn more and talk about lightning right here in r/Bitcoin, r/bitcoinbeginners and r/thelightningnetwork

Please utilize this sticky thread for all general Bitcoin discussions! If you see posts on the front page or /r/Bitcoin/new which are better suited for this daily discussion thread, please help out by directing the OP to this thread instead. Thank you!

If you don't get an answer to your question, you can try phrasing it differently or commenting again tomorrow.

Please check the previous discussion thread for unanswered questions.

thishastowork123

A friend of mine has been buying Bitcoin since 2023, $50 every day. From the time the price is below $70k, he is buying double ($100 each day).

He believes that one day BTC will go to $1M+, and then he'll decide whether to sell or keep holding.

Who else is pumped right now! Part of me wants another big dip so I can keep adding to my stack with DCA and grab even more sats

Real talk tho - if youre in this for the long haul like 10+ years why does anyone get upset when the price drops? Makes no sense to me if you actually believe in where this is headed

Buy and HOLD until someone is willing to pay what you want. Very simple. Patience = Freedom

Yeah the markets are taking a beating right now and everyone's losing their minds, but this is exactly what we've been waiting for. These dips don't last forever and when things turn around you'll be glad you didn't sit on the sidelines

Can't time the exact bottom obviously but every time it drops another level I'm grabbing more. Been doing this for a few years now and the pattern always repeats itself. People get scared, price drops, smart money accumulates, then we're back to new highs

Don't go crazy and blow your whole budget at once though. Space it out, buy the dips, and stay patient. Future you will appreciate it

Long story, so here's the TLDR: I had a self-directed Roth IRA that held bitcoin as an asset. I took self-custody of the bitcoin (NYKNYC), and that opened a whole can of worms concerning the IRA, the custodian, the exchange, taxes, and the IRS.

My accountant couldn't help me, so he referred me to another accountant who couldn't help me, who referred me to a lawyer, who...couldn't help me. So I asked my Estate attorney for a referral. He referred me to a lawyer who also couldn't help me, but that one referred me to attorney Ari Good in Miami.

Ari Good is a superstar when it comes to crypto, taxes, and retirement accounts. He has a deep working knowledge of crypto and all of its nuances, unlike most attorneys. Ari worked tirelessly to unravel the mess I caused, and the end result was exactly what I'd hoped it would be. Everything came out to my advantage.

I highly recommend Mr Good if anyone needs an attorney regarding cryptocurrencies. In additon, his fees were more than reasonable, and he has a great sense of humor. I am grateful that I found him. Definitely 5 Stars.

I am trying to create a xouh to recover a lost wallet will this work? What website can I do this on my phone. Everyone on Reddit is dming to create a coin to recover the funds and I can’t figure out how to.

I have 2 different wallets, a Trezor and a Ledger. I've had the ledger for a few years now and never had any issues. I've properly secured my seed phrases, meaning no pictures of it on a computer file lol or where someone would have easy access to them.

However, I'm aware that there are some people that have discussed potential issues with this particular wallet company and wanted to know what others on here thought.

My biggest concern with crypto is not the volatility, but rather outright losing my assets.

One concern is the leaking of customer information, which is something I've seen with other crypto related companies as well (Celsius bankruptcy, exchanges, etc.). This seems like a huge opening for "wrench attacks".

However, my biggest concern is if there is some sort of backdoor to customer funds, pertaining to the seed phrase backup in particular. This is not something that I've had setup, but it does raise eyebrows a bit.

I started accumulating BTC at the end of last year. I live in Brazil and buy 200 to 500 BRL (40 to 95 USD) worth of BTC per month.

My initial goal is to reach 0.01 BTC, which I believe is a good goal and I intend to achieve it by the end of the year.

I plan to buy around 4-5 BTC over the next few months. Maybe do it in 3 chunks. Its a long-term HODL. Main goal is low fees and future access to products like borrowing against my BTC or even using it as collateral for a mortgage 2-3 years down the . Maybe want a little bit of margin.

Leaning towards Kraken but want any and all recommendations! Also, I have a Ledger USB already

$1.32B in net inflows after four straight months of outflows totaling $6.3B